纽约市一家社区医院收治的COVID -19患者的生存相关因素

Ashutosh Kumar Singh, A. Shady, E. Gbaje, M. Oliva, Samantha Golden Espinal, Dylan M. Macciola, Dyanna Soto, William E. Eddy, A. Adkoli, Noella Boma, N. Bergasa
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摘要

导语:COVID-19与老年、高血压和男性死亡率增加有关。在我们的纽约市社区医院住院的患者中发现了较高的体重指数(BMI)、机械通气和肾衰竭的患病率;因此,我们的目标是探索这些参数与患者生存之间的关系。方法:对2020年3月14日至4月30日收治的新冠肺炎患者进行回顾性分析。采用Cox回归模型、Log rank检验和Kaplan Meier曲线对符合标准的326例患者进行分析。结果:75岁以上人群调整后的死亡几率高于18 ~ 44岁人群。血氧饱和度大于92%的患者调整死亡几率低于血氧饱和度为88 ~ 92%的患者(优势比(OR)=0.2, 95% CI=0.06, 0.70),调整死亡风险较低(风险比(HR)=0.4, 95% CI=0.21, 0.87)。插管与较高的校正优势比(OR=57.8, 95% CI=17.74, 188.30)和校正危险比HR=5.4 (95% CI=2.59, 11.21)相关。在控制了年龄和性别后,发现血清d -二聚体和肌酐水平与死亡率均无显著相关性。在控制了年龄和性别后,发现构成代谢综合征的因素,即BMI升高、糖尿病、高血压和高脂血症与死亡结果无显著相关性,它们与死亡前的时间也无显著相关性。结论:在研究人群中,COVID-19与需要插管的患者和老年人的死亡率增加有关,这可能是由于免疫系统随着时间的推移发生了变化。BMI升高,虽然没有统计学意义,但在我们的大多数研究人群中都存在,这可能是导致该组死亡率高的原因。
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Factors associated with survival in patients with COVID -19 admitted to a community hospital in New York City
Introduction: COVID-19 has been associated with increased mortality in old age, hypertension and male gender. Higher prevalence of increased body mass index (BMI), mechanical ventilation and renal failure has been found in the patients admitted to our New York City community hospital; accordingly we aim to explore the association between these parameters and survival in our patients. Methods: Retrospective review of patients admitted with the COVID-19 disease March 14 to April 30 of 2020. Analysis using Cox regression models, Log rank tests and Kaplan Meier curves was done for a total of 326 patients that met our criteria. Results: The adjusted odds of death for those at least 75 years of age were higher than those within the age group of 18 to 44 years. The patients with over 92% oxygen saturation had lower adjusted odds of death than those with 88 to 92% oxygen saturation (Odds Ratio (OR)=0.2, 95% CI=0.06, 0.70), as well as lower adjusted hazard of dying (Hazard Ratio (HR)=0.4, 95% CI=0.21, 0.87). Intubation was associated with a higher adjusted odds ratio (OR=57.8, 95% CI=17.74, 188.30) and adjusted hazard ratio HR=5.4 (95% CI=2.59, 11.21) for death. After controlling for age and gender, neither levels of serum D-dimer nor creatinine were found to be significantly associated with mortality The factors that comprise metabolic syndrome, i.e., elevated BMI, diabetes, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia, were found to have no significant association with the outcome of death after controlling for age and sex and they also had no significant association with the time until death. Conclusions: In the study population, COVID-19 was associated with increased mortality in patients who required intubation, and in the elderly, which may be explained by changes in the immune system over time. Elevated BMI, though not statistically significant, was present in the majority of our study population, which may have contributed to the group's high mortality.
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