石油资源的优化开采

B. Helmi-Oskoui, R. Narayanan, T. Glover, K.S. Lyon, M. Sinha
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引用次数: 27

摘要

结合实际井资料和储层特征,对不同压力水平下的油藏动态进行了预测。以生产井底压力为控制变量,采用动态优化方法,得到了不同税收政策下油气联合开采利润最大化的时间路径。结果来自于在存在税收的情况下,估计的扣除可变成本的未来预期收入的最大化的数值解。较高的贴现率使生产及时向前推进,延长了生产计划。对州所得税、公司所得税和损耗津贴的分析揭示了公司、州和联邦政府收入的变化。
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Optimal extraction of petroleum resources

Petroleum reservoir behavior at different levels of reservoir pressure is estimated with the actual well data and reservoir characteristics. Using the pressure at the bottom of producing wells as control variables, the time paths of profit maximizing joint production of oil and natural gas under various tax policies are obtained using a dynamic optimization approach.

The results emerge from numerical solution of the maximization of estimated future expected revenues net of variable costs in the presence of taxation. Higher discount rate shifts the production forward in time and prolongs the production plan. The analysis of the state, corporate income taxes and depletion allowance reveals the changes in the revenues to the firm, the state and the federal governments.

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