利用沃尔巴克氏体阻止寨卡病毒传播的数学模型的稳定性分析

M. Anyanwu, G. Mbah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用感染沃尔巴克氏体的蚊子来阻止寨卡病毒病的传播进行了建模和分析。该模型由一个由10个常微分方程组成的系统组成,该系统描述了该疾病在人群、无沃尔巴克氏体的埃及伊蚊种群和用于疾病控制的感染沃尔巴克氏体的埃及伊蚊种群中的动态。对无病平衡点进行了稳定性分析,表明当繁殖数小于1时,无病平衡点是局部和全局渐近稳定的。稳定性分析的结果表明,当将感染沃尔巴克氏体的埃及伊蚊引入寨卡病毒流行地区时,可以阻止寨卡病毒病的传播,而不管受感染的人和蚊子种群的初始规模有多大。
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Stability Analysis of a Mathematical Model for the Use of Wolbachia to Stop the Spread of Zika Virus Disease
Summary The use of wolbachia-infected mosquitoes to stop the spread of zika virus disease is modeled and analyzed. The model consists of a system of 10 ordinary differential equations which describes the dynamics of the disease in the human population, a wolbachia-free Aedes aegypti population, and a wolbachia-infected Aedes aegypti population used for disease control. A stability analysis of the disease-free equilibrium is conducted, which shows that it is both locally and globally asymptotically stable when the reproduction number is less than one. The result of the stability analysis shows that the spread of zika virus disease can be stopped, irrespective of the initial sizes of the infected human and mosquito populations, when wolbachia-infected Aedes aegypti are introduced in the area where the disease is endemic.
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