验证用于计算欧洲、非洲、亚洲和北美地区全球太阳辐射的一个非常简单的模式

S. Coppolino
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引用次数: 7

摘要

在之前的一篇论文中,Coppolino提出了一个非常简单的模型,用于预测意大利任何地点的月平均日全球太阳辐射G(MJm−2 day−1),只使用日照时长s(小时)和月15日太阳的正午高度hn(度)作为输入。相关系数为G = 7.8s0.5(sin hn)1.15。将该模型扩展到欧洲、非洲、亚洲和北美地区不同纬度、海拔高度和地理位置的24个站点的数据,验证了该模型的有效性。并将该模型与著名的Ångström线性方程的拟合效果进行了比较。试验结果表明:(a) Coppolino提出的相关性与所有试验站的月平均日全球辐射实测数据拟合得很好,而不受其纬度、海拔高度、气象条件和地理位置(内陆或沿海站点)的影响。事实上,估计Φ(%)的相关标准误差在所有测试地点都小于10%,除了加拿大鹅湾,它略高于10%。(b)虽然Ångström方程的回归常数的值因地点而异,有些地点从北到月各不相同,但对于所考虑的每个站,参考两个比较相关性的Φ(%)的值几乎相等。因此,必须推断,Coppolino提出的非常简单的模式,即使在欧洲、非洲、亚洲和北美地区,虽然没有光量测量仪器,但有日照时数资料,仍然适合和有用地预测月平均日全球太阳辐射,而且具有良好的可靠性。
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Validation of a very simple model for computing global solar radiation in the European, African, Asian and North American areas

In a previous paper Coppolino has proposed a very simple model for predicting the monthly mean daily global solar radiation G(MJm−2 day−1) at any Italian location using as input only the sunshine duration s (hours) and the noon altitude of the sun on the 15th of the month hn (degrees). The correlation suggested is G = 7.8s0.5(sin hn)1.15. Herein the validity of this model is verified by extending its application to dat from 24 stations displaced at various latitudes, altitudes above sea level and geographical situations in the European, African, Asian and North American areas. Furthermore the validity of this model to fit the data of the tested stations is compared with that of the well-known linear Ångström equation. The test results show that: (a) The correlation proposed by Coppolino fits well enough the measured data of the monthly mean daily global radiation for all tested stations, independent of their latitude, altitude above sea level, meteorological conditions and geographical situation (inland or coastal site). In fact the related standard per cent error of estimate Φ(%) is less than 10% for all tested locationswith the exception of Goose Bay, Canada, for which it is a little higher than 10%. (b) Although the values of the regression constants of the Ångström equation vary from location to location and for some locations from north to month, the values of Φ(%) referring to the two compared correlations are nearly equal to each other for each station considered. Consequently it must be deduced that the very simple model suggested by Coppolino is suitable and useful to predict the monthly mean daily global solar radiation with good reliability, even in the locations of the European, African, Asian and North American areas lacking actinometric instruments but provided with sunshine duration data.

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