结合因子分析与冢本模糊逻辑方法的农村银行信贷质量控制

IF 1.4 Q3 OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE Decision Science Letters Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI:10.5267/j.dsl.2023.1.008
Y. Hidayat, S. Sukono, Predy Hartanto, T. Purwandari, Riza Andrian Ibrahim, Moch Panji Agung Saputra, J. Saputra
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引用次数: 0

摘要

向债务人提供信贷可能会带来违约风险。这种风险是由于在分析债务人的信用风险率时出现错误而产生的。因此,本研究旨在设计一个分析债务人信用风险率的框架,以降低违约风险。该框架采用因子分析和冢本模糊逻辑方法相结合的方法创建。这种整合方法可以将许多信用评估变量组合成几个决定性因素。此外,该集成方法可以基于各基本规则的α-谓词,可靠地估计信用风险率。该分析框架在印度尼西亚一家农村银行的信贷申请数据上进行了模拟。仿真结果表明,衡量信用风险率有三个因素和一个变量,即:因素1代表偿还能力、业务长度、营运资金和流动性价值;因子2表示年龄以及已批出贷款金额与建议贷款金额之间的差额;因子3表示逗留时间、性格和信用记录;一个变量表示一个相关数。本研究旨在帮助信贷机构在为潜在债务人作出信贷决策时衡量信用风险率。
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Integration of factor analysis and Tsukamoto’s fuzzy logic method for quality control of credit provisions in rural banks
Giving credit to debtors can pose a default risk. This risk arises because of an error in analyzing the credit risk rate of the debtor. Therefore, this study aims to design a framework for analyzing the credit risk rate of debtors so that the default risk can be reduced. This framework is created using the integration of factor analysis and Tsukamoto’s fuzzy logic method. This integration method can group many credit assessment variables into several decisive factors. In addition, the integration method can estimate credit risk rate firmly based on the α-predicate of each basic rule. This analytical framework is simulated on credit application data at a Rural Bank, in Indonesia. The simulation results show that there are three factors and one variable to measure the credit risk rate, namely: factor 1 represents repayment capacity, business length, working capital, and liquidity value; factor 2 represents the age and the difference between the granted and the proposed loan amount; factor 3 represents the stay length, character, and credit history; and one variable represents a dependent number. This research is expected to help credit institutions measure the credit risk rate in making credit decisions for prospective debtors.
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来源期刊
Decision Science Letters
Decision Science Letters Decision Sciences-Decision Sciences (all)
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
5.30%
发文量
49
审稿时长
20 weeks
期刊最新文献
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