估计车辆公里数的住户旅行调查方法:一个发展中国家的个案研究

Q3 Engineering Transactions on Transport Sciences Pub Date : 2021-07-12 DOI:10.5507/TOTS.2021.016
Sarala Gunathilaka, N. Amarasingha, S. Dissanayake, Malika Lakmali
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引用次数: 1

摘要

车辆行驶公里数(VKT)表示车辆在特定关注区域的特定时间段内行驶的公里数。交通规划者、政策制定者、城市规划者以及车辆排放、能源消耗和燃料价格的估算者鼓励出于各种分析目的计算VKT。然而,在大多数发展中国家,由于数据方面的挑战,没有对VKT进行估计。本研究旨在提出一种家庭旅行调查方法,用于估计发展中国家的VKT,这些国家没有及时的VKT数据。此外,估计个人行驶公里数(PKT)在发展中国家似乎很重要,因为在这些国家,大多数人使用公共和非机动交通方式,而不是个人车辆。这种建议的方法允许收集估计VKT和PKT所需的数据以及社会人口统计信息。在三个不同的地区进行了案例研究;斯里兰卡是一个发展中国家,它的北部、东部和南部地区。问题涉及典型一周的旅行、假期旅行、特殊季节或假期旅行、旅行人数、旅行方式以及受访者的社会人口统计。在实际调查之前进行了试点调查,以验证所编制问卷的有效性。采集的样本满足社区内所有选定的社会人口统计类别。通过调查收集的数据按年度汇总,并使用有关的人口普查和人口数据进行加权。在每个选定的社会人口类别下获得加权VKT和PKT估计值。此外,对VKT的估计进行了统计比较,以研究不同地区人们的旅行行为。统计学比较采用方差分析和事后检验。这些调查结果可有效地用于运输规划、政策制定活动、排放计算、能源消耗估计等,供该国的运输和环境机构使用。案例研究揭示了在斯里兰卡利用家庭旅行调查方法的经验,使其有可能在其他发展中国家得到复制。
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Household travel survey method for vehicle kilometers travel estimations: A case study in a developing country
Vehicle Kilometers Travelled (VKT) represents number of kilometers travelled by vehicles during a specific period of time in a specific area of concern. Transportation planners, policy makers, urban planners, and estimators of vehicle emission, energy consumption and fuel-price encourage the calculation of VKT for various analytical purposes. However, in most of the developing countries VKT is not estimated due to data challenges. This study aimed at proposing a household travel survey method for estimating VKT in developing countries where timely VKT data are not available. Also, estimating Personal Kilometers Travelled (PKT) seems important in developing countries, since the majority is using public and non-motorized transport modes rather than personal vehicles in those countries. This proposed method allows to collect data that are needed for estimating both VKT and PKT together with socio demographic information. A case study was conducted in three different regions; Northern, Eastern and Southern areas of Sri Lanka, which is a developing country. Questions were asked regarding to trips in a typical week, trips in holidays, special seasons or vacations, number of passengers travelled, travel modes and, socio demography of the respondent. Pilot surveys were conducted prior to the actual surveys to verify the efficiency of developed questionnaire. Samples were taken satisfying all the selected socio demographic categories within the community. Collected data through surveys were aggregated to annual level and, weighted using relevant census and population data. Weighted VKT and PKT estimates were obtained under each selected socio demographic category. Also, VKT estimates were statistically compared for studying the travel behavior of people across different regions. ANOVA and Post Hoc tests were employed for statistical comparisons. These findings can efficiently be used for transport planning, policy making activities, emission calculations, energy consumption estimations etc. by transport and environmental agencies of the country. The case study revealed the experience of utilizing the household travel survey method in Sri Lanka, making it possible to be replicated in other developing countries as well.
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来源期刊
Transactions on Transport Sciences
Transactions on Transport Sciences Environmental Science-Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
13 weeks
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