利用机器学习技术估算机械化森林采伐生产力

S. Gonçalves, N. Fiedler, J. Silva, Gilson Fernandes Da Silva, Mayra Luiza Marques Da Silva, L. Minette, Daniel Pena Pereira, D. Lopes, Evandro Ferreira da Silva, A. H. C. Ramalho, Jeangelis Silva Santos, Marcelo Otone Aguiar, José de Oliveira Melo Neto, Renisson Neponuceno de Araújo Filho
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摘要

采伐作业生产率是林业企业主要生存能力指标之一,直接受到土地、人口、作业规划等特点的影响。影响采收机生产率的变量尤其难以测量,并且具有复杂的关系,这使得预测操作生产率具有挑战性。本研究使用机器学习(ML)技术生成了一个模型来估计巴西东南部桉树种植园的收获生产力。模拟采伐生产力的输入变量是平均单株树木体积、林分木材体积、采伐年龄、间距、操作员经验和管理制度。数据库随机分为训练(70%)和验证(30%)数据集。采用boosting、人工神经网络(ANN)和基于自适应网络的模糊推理系统(ANFIS)技术对模型进行拟合,并通过残差统计和图形分析对模型进行评价。选择用于训练和验证的配置来估计收割机生产率,相关系数值大于0.9,均方根误差(RMSE)百分比小于12.41,表明估计值与观测值之间具有很强的相关性和较高的准确性。增强技术在训练和验证中的相关系数分别为0.98和0.97,RMSE百分比分别为6.15和6.65,效果最好。使用ANFIS技术估计收获生产率的性能最差。机器学习技术在模拟机械化森林砍伐的生产力与收获模型方面是有效的。
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Machine learning techniques to estimate mechanised forest cutting productivity
The productivity of wood harvesting operations is one of the main viability indicators of the forestry enterprise, which is directly influenced by land, population, and operational planning characteristics. The variables that affect the productivity of harvesting machines are particularly difficult to measure and have complex relationships, making it challenging to predict the productivity of operations. This study generated a model using machine learning (ML) techniques to estimate harvesting productivity in Eucalyptus plantations in southeastern Brazil. The input variables for modelling harvesting productivity were the average individual tree volumes, wood volume in the stand, cutting age, spacing, operator experience, and the management regime. The database was randomly divided into training (70%) and validation (30%) datasets. Boosted, artificial neural network (ANN), and adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) techniques were used to fit the model and were evaluated through statistics and graphical analysis of the residues. The configurations selected for training and validation to estimate harvester productivity resulted in correlation coefficient values greater than 0.9, and root-mean-square error (RMSE) percentages less than 12.41, indicating a strong correlation and high accuracy between the estimates and the observed values. The boosted technique yielded the best results, with correlation coefficients of 0.98 and 0.97, and RMSE percentages of 6.15 and 6.65 in training and validation, respectively. The worst performance for estimating harvesting productivity was obtained using the ANFIS technique. ML techniques were efficient in modelling the productivity of mechanised forest cutting with a harvesting model.
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