温室气体的状态及其在自然界中的吸收。回顾

A. N. Ivankin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

简要回顾了温室气体,主要是二氧化碳,对气候参数可能变化的状态和影响。结果表明,主要的温室气体为孔隙水,占总质量的36% ~ 72%;26%),甲烷(4…9%)和臭氧(3…7%)。本文描述了引起研究人员注意的二氧化碳浓度形成的主要来源,包括工业发展造成的人为影响,以及重要的自然因素,如火山活动的后果。讨论了历史时期大气中温室气体含量的浓度变化。报告显示了个别经济体对地球温室气体排放总量的一定贡献,并指出,按年计算,由于人类活动而形成的二氧化碳量可达350 - 400亿吨二氧化碳。值得注意的是,近年来二氧化碳浓度一直超过400ppm,这一水平显然是观测历史上最高的。报告描述了温室气体最主要的来源——工业、交通和火山。对火山活动对大气中二氧化碳含量增加的贡献进行了评估,其水平可达60…每年排放2.5亿吨二氧化碳,根据一些估计,达到50亿吨二氧化碳。报告显示了吸收过量二氧化碳的最重要因素————世界海洋和森林————对从大气中清除温室气体的可能性的潜在影响。对世界海洋每年吸收多达26亿吨二氧化碳的假设进行了评估。据信它的吸收能力要高得多。对森林和植被覆盖在二氧化碳封存中的保护作用的考虑表明,在某些条件下,现有森林地区可能至少能够吸收大部分人为排放。对个别国家对必要的负碳平衡的贡献所作的评估表明,在这个问题上对俄罗斯联邦提出的要求是毫无根据的。从地理因素和经济因素两方面对气候变化的前景作了一定的预测。
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The state of greenhouse gases and their assimilation in nature. A review
A brief review of the state and influence of greenhouse gases, primarily carbon dioxide, on possible changes in climatic parameters is presented. It was noted that the main greenhouse gases are water pore, the amount of which in the total mass can be from 36 to 72 %, as well as carbon dioxide (9...26 %), methane (4...9 %) and ozone (3...7 %). The main sources of formation of the concentration of carbon dioxide, which attracts the attention of researchers, as a result of anthropogenic impact as a result of industrial development, as well as significant natural factors, such as the consequences of volcanic activity, are described. Concentration changes in the content of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere in the historical period are discussed. A certain contribution of individual economies to the total volume of greenhouse gas emissions on the planet is shown and it is noted that in annual terms the amount of carbon dioxide formed as a result of human activity can reach 35–40 billion tons of CO2. It is noted that in recent years the concentration of CO2 has consistently exceeded 400 ppm and this level is, apparently, the highest in the history of observations. The most significant sources of greenhouse gases are described — industry, transport and volcanoes. An assessment was made of the contribution of volcanic activity to the increase in the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere, which can be at the level of 60...250 million tons of CO2 per year, and according to some estimates, reach 0,5 billion tons of CO2. The potential influence of the most significant factors of absorption of excess CO2 — the world’s oceans and forests on the possibility of removing greenhouse gases from the atmosphere is shown. An assessment is given of the assumption that the world ocean absorbs up to 2,6 billion tons of CO2 per year. It is believed that its absorption capacity is much higher. Consideration of the protective role of forests and vegetation cover in carbon dioxide sequestration shows that, under certain conditions, existing forest areas are likely to be able to absorb at least most of the anthropogenic emissions. The assessment made of the contribution of individual countries to the necessary negative carbon balance shows the groundlessness of claims against the Russian Federation on this issue. A certain forecast of the prospects for climate change is presented in relation to geographical and economic factors.
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