日本光伏市场的成本分析

H. Yamaya, T. Ohigashi, H. Matsukawa, I. Kaizuka, Osamu Ikki
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引用次数: 0

摘要

自2012年7月开始实施上网电价计划以来,日本光伏市场一直在增长,2014年的年装机容量达到了9gw的水平。预计到2015年底累计光伏装机容量将达到33GW,新增装机容量将达到10gw。引入FIT计划的目的是为了引领光伏系统的成本降低。但是,经济产业省认为,现行的FIT制度并不能完全促进降低成本,因此决定改变FIT水平的设定规则。本文分析了包括软成本在内的光伏系统成本趋势的现状,并考虑了拟修订的上网电价补贴计划对成本结构的影响。
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PV cost analysis in the Japanese PV market
Since the start of the Feed-in Tariff Program in July 2012, the PV market in Japan has been growing and annual installed capacity reached 9 GW level in 2014. It is expected that cumulative PV installed capacity as of the end of year 2015 reach 33GW with newly additional capacity of 10 GW. The FIT program was introduced for aiming to lead cost reduction of PV systems. However, The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) decided to change the rules of setting the FIT level since METI concluded that the current framework of the FIT program was not fully contributed to the advancement of cost reduction. This paper analyses the status of PV system cost trends including soft cost and consider impacts of the proposed revision of the FIT program on cost structures.
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