利用盈余生产模型研究孟加拉国帕苏尔河渔业的最大可持续产量

M. Rouf, Sheik Istiak Md Shahriar, Md. Hafizur Rahman, M. Hasan, Al-Hasan Antu, Md. Noman Siddiqui
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摘要

利用剩余产量模型(Schaefer和Fox模型)和基于4年(2011-2014年)渔获量和渔获量数据的观测误差估计器,对孟加拉国帕苏尔河主要渔场的最大可持续产量(MSY)、渔获量(fmsy)和总允许渔获量(TAC)进行了估算。Fox模型在本研究中尤为突出;MSY的估计值为4.61 kg,相应的fmsy为13.51单位(200m2SBN/天)。随机方法95%置信区间的MSY和TAC均值分别为4.53 kg和4.08 kg,渔获力单位(fmsy)为13.22。总体结果提供了明确的证据,表明从12月到3月,帕苏尔河的渔业正在被过度开发。可以通过减少目前的捕捞努力量来确保对这种鱼类的可持续开发。此外,TAC可与若干现有的渔业管理措施一起纳入,以确保对这种鱼类的长期可持续性给予补偿。
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Maximum Sustainable Yield for the Passur river fishery of Bangladesh by using Surplus-production model
Maximum sustainable yield (MSY), fishing effort (fmsy) and total allowable catch (TAC) of major fishery in the Passur River, Bangladesh were estimated using surplus production model (Schaefer and Fox model) with observation-error estimator based on four years (2011-2014) catch and effort data. Fox model was especially highlighted in this study; the estimated value of MSY was 4.61 kg with corresponding fmsy of 13.51 units (200m2SBN/day). Moreover, the mean value of MSY and TAC with 95% confidence interval in stochastic method was 4.53 kg and 4.08 kg respectively with the 13.22 units of fishing effort (fmsy). The overall results provide clear evidence that the fishery of the Passur River is being overexploited in the months from December to March. Sustainable exploitation of this stock can be assured through reducing present fishing effort. In addition, TAC might be incorporated along with several existing fisheries management measures to ensure the compensation of this stock towards long term sustainability.
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