{"title":"一个简单的和近乎最佳的投资策略,以尽量减少终身破产的可能性","authors":"Xiaoqing Liang, V. Young","doi":"10.1017/asb.2022.3","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract We study the optimal investment strategy to minimize the probability of lifetime ruin under a general mortality hazard rate. We explore the error between the minimum probability of lifetime ruin and the achieved probability of lifetime ruin if one follows a simple investment strategy inspired by earlier work in this area. We also include numerical examples to illustrate the estimation. We show that the nearly optimal probability of lifetime ruin under the simplified investment strategy is quite close to the original minimum probability of lifetime ruin under reasonable parameter values.","PeriodicalId":8617,"journal":{"name":"ASTIN Bulletin","volume":"19 1","pages":"619 - 643"},"PeriodicalIF":1.7000,"publicationDate":"2022-02-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A SIMPLE AND NEARLY OPTIMAL INVESTMENT STRATEGY TO MINIMIZE THE PROBABILITY OF LIFETIME RUIN\",\"authors\":\"Xiaoqing Liang, V. Young\",\"doi\":\"10.1017/asb.2022.3\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract We study the optimal investment strategy to minimize the probability of lifetime ruin under a general mortality hazard rate. We explore the error between the minimum probability of lifetime ruin and the achieved probability of lifetime ruin if one follows a simple investment strategy inspired by earlier work in this area. We also include numerical examples to illustrate the estimation. We show that the nearly optimal probability of lifetime ruin under the simplified investment strategy is quite close to the original minimum probability of lifetime ruin under reasonable parameter values.\",\"PeriodicalId\":8617,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"ASTIN Bulletin\",\"volume\":\"19 1\",\"pages\":\"619 - 643\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2022-02-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"ASTIN Bulletin\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1017/asb.2022.3\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ASTIN Bulletin","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1017/asb.2022.3","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
A SIMPLE AND NEARLY OPTIMAL INVESTMENT STRATEGY TO MINIMIZE THE PROBABILITY OF LIFETIME RUIN
Abstract We study the optimal investment strategy to minimize the probability of lifetime ruin under a general mortality hazard rate. We explore the error between the minimum probability of lifetime ruin and the achieved probability of lifetime ruin if one follows a simple investment strategy inspired by earlier work in this area. We also include numerical examples to illustrate the estimation. We show that the nearly optimal probability of lifetime ruin under the simplified investment strategy is quite close to the original minimum probability of lifetime ruin under reasonable parameter values.
期刊介绍:
ASTIN Bulletin publishes papers that are relevant to any branch of actuarial science and insurance mathematics. Its papers are quantitative and scientific in nature, and draw on theory and methods developed in any branch of the mathematical sciences including actuarial mathematics, statistics, probability, financial mathematics and econometrics.