发展中国家空气质量时间序列的时空变异:以越南胡志明市为例

Hue Nam K. Nguyen, N. Tran, B. Vu, B. Q. Ho
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引用次数: 0

摘要

近年来,空气污染不仅对越南,而且对其他国家都是一个严重的问题。胡志明市(HCMC)是越南最大的城市,许多空气污染物超过了越南国家环境空气质量技术法规,包括PM2.5, NOx,臭氧和CO。这些高污染物浓度已经破坏了胡志明市人民的健康。本研究旨在(1)分析和评估胡志明市空气污染物质的时空变化;(ii)研究天气型态对胡志明市空气污染物扩散的影响。利用描述统计方法对2005 - 2016年各监测点的空气质量进行评价,并利用地理信息系统(GIS)的逆距离加权(IDW)空间插值方法绘制空气质量污染物质分布图,重点分析了总悬浮粒子(TSP)、氮氧化物(NOx)、铅(Pb)和一氧化碳(CO)等污染物质。在所有研究地点的每个像素的污染物质的浓度变化。通过对比空气质量监测和IDW空间插值方法,验证了IDW方法的有效性。结果表明,IDW法在丁天黄县-奠边府县、安淞县和高Vap监测点的R2 = 0.93, d = 0.74,适用于本研究。在Hang Xanh、An Suong和Huynh Tan Phat监测点,IDW插值法对NOx的测量结果也很好,R2 = 0.96, d = 0.75。结果表明:Go Vap地区CO浓度最高,平均值为14.849 mg/m3;安淞地区TSP最高,平均值为0.687mg/m3;奠边府的氮氧化物含量最高,为0.199 mg/m3。空气质量的空间分布表明,由于主要空气排放源位于胡志明市中心,主要风向为南、东南和东北,胡志明市空气质量继续向北、西北和东北方向扩散。风向将空气污染物从市中心吹向胡志明市的北部、西北部和东北部。研究结果还表明了政策与空气污染水平之间的关系。空气质素管理方面的政策干预措施,如收紧车辆废气排放(由欧盟II标准降至欧盟VI标准)及使用更清洁燃料的政策,将会对减少胡志明市的空气污染产生重大影响。
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Spatiotemporal Variability of Air Quality Time Series for developing countries: Case of Ho Chi Minh city, Vietnam
In the recent years, air pollution has become a severe problem not only for Vietnam, but also for other countries. Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC) is the largest city in Vietnam where many air pollutants exceeded the Vietnam national technical regulation in ambient air quality including PM2.5, NOx, Ozone and CO. These high pollutant concentrations have destroyed human health of people in Ho Chi Minh City. This research is aimed to (i) analyse and assess the change in spatiotemporal of the air polluted substances in Ho Chi Minh City; (ii) study the impact of weather patern to air pollutants dispersion over Ho Chi Minh City. The description statistical method is applied to evaluate the air quality in every monitoring location during the period 2005 to 2016, and the Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) spatial interpolation from Geographical Information Systems (GIS) was applied to create a map of polluted substances in air quality, especially Total Suspended Particles (TSP), Nitrogen oxides (NOx), Lead (Pb) and Carbon monoxide (CO), of the change in concentration of the polluted substances for every pixel in all researched locations. IDW method was validated by comparing between air quality monitoring and IDW spatial interpolation method. The results shown that IDW method is qualify for this study with R2 = 0.93 and d = 0.74 at Dinh Tien Hoang – Dien Bien Phu, An Suong and Go Vap monitoring locations. The IDW interpolation method was also good result for NOx with R2 = 0.96 and d = 0.75 at the Hang Xanh, An Suong, and Huynh Tan Phat monitoring locations. The results shown that the highest CO concentration is in Go Vap district, with the average is 14.849 mg/m3, TSP is highest in An Suong area with the average is 0.687mg/m3. NOx is highest in Dien Bien Phu wih 0.199 mg/m3. The spatial of air quality shown that the spread continues towards the north, northwest, and northeast direction of Ho Chi Minh City because the main air emission sources are in the center of HCMC and the main wind direction is south, southeast and northeast. The wind direction blows air pollutants from center of city toward to the north, northwest, and northeast of Ho Chi Minh City. The results of study also shown that the relations between policy and air pollution level. Policy interventions on air quality management will have a major impact on reducing air pollution for HCMC, such as policies that tighten vehicle exhaust emissions (from EURO II standard to EURO VI standard) and policy on cleaner fuel.
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