Beneish M-Score模型在马来西亚上市公司可能的盈余操纵检测中的应用

N. Aqilah, N. Mohammed, Amrizah Kamaluddin
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引用次数: 2

摘要

盈余操纵包括改变、调整、利用,甚至是在财务报表中安排交易的时间,目的是报告公司良好的经济业绩。从长远来看,这种行为可能会危及公司的财务业绩,也会使其利益相关者遭受重大损失。因此,发现或预测盈余操纵的工具将有助于会计领域的利益相关者、从业者、监管者、学者和专业人士。此外,还需要一种早期检测工具,提醒执法机构进行进一步调查或采取法律行动。因此,本研究的目的是分析Beneish M-Score模型及其八个会计变量,以检测马来西亚plc(上市公司)的情况下从事盈余操纵的可能性。收集了80家plc 2015 - 2017年的财务数据。本研究采用Beneish模型作为盈余操纵和异常危险信号的检测工具,并将公司分为操纵公司和非可能操纵公司两组。对独立t检验进行分析以确定主导比率。本研究结果发现,对于操纵者和非操纵者,M-Score及其三个指标,即销售增长指数(SGI)、总资产应计总额(TATA)和Days’Sales Receivable指数(DSRI), M-Score及其三个指标在操纵者和非操纵者之间存在显著差异。操纵者的比例在2016年略有下降,在2017年逐渐上升。因此,对销售和收入以及应计利润的通胀或高估可能是操纵收益的信号。
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Application Of Beneish M-Score Model In Detecting Probable Earnings Manipulation In Malaysian Public Listed Companies
Earnings manipulation involves alteration, adjustment, exploitation, and even timing of transactions in financial statements with the intention to report a sound economic performance in a company. This act could jeopardize the company’s financial performance in the long run and also make its stakeholders to suffer significant losses. Therefore, a tool to detect or predict earnings manipulation would be helpful to the stakeholders, practitioners, regulators, academicians, and professionals in the accounting field. Besides, an early detection tool is needed to alarm the enforcement agencies to make further investigations or legal actions. Therefore, the aim of this study is to analyse the Beneish M-Score models and its eight accounting variables to detect the likelihood to engage in earnings manipulation in the case of Malaysian PLCs (Public Listed Companies). The financial data of 80 of PLCs from 2015 to 2017 were gathered. This study applied Beneish Model as a detection tool for earnings manipulation and anomalies of red flags and to classify the companies into two groups, which are manipulators and non-likely manipulators. The Independent T-tests were analysed to identify dominating ratios. The results of this study found that M-Score and its three indexes were significantly different for manipulators and non-likely manipulators, which are Sales Growth Index (SGI), Total Accruals to Total Assets (TATA) and Days' Sales Receivable index (DSRI). The percentage of manipulators had slightly decreased in 2016 and gradually increased in 2017. Hence, the inflation or overestimation of sales and revenues, as well as accruals, could signals earnings manipulation.
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