贝加尔湖地区与中华人民共和国对外贸易合作发展的当代特点与前景

Viktor Kolodin, Y. Sukhodolov
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摘要

当前,俄中经贸合作呈现出积极发展态势。2018年,俄中对外贸易额达到1082亿美元。然而,尽管取得了成果,仍然存在一些严重的问题。主要是俄罗斯在中国对外贸易额中所占的份额微不足道(约为2%),以及俄罗斯对华出口的原材料取向(矿产品在出口中所占的份额为76%)。俄中贸易进出口格局的基础是在区域层面上形成的。目前,中国是贝加尔湖地区的主要对外贸易伙伴,占俄中对外贸易总额的5.5%(其中出口占8.9%,进口占1.9%)。贝加尔湖地区以出口为主。原材料在对华出口的贸易格局中占主导地位,占整体出口的90%以上。考虑到对全球经济的预测,在当前条件下,对西伯利亚和远东地区来说,寻找经济发展的方向和现代化手段以及转向创新发展变得尤为重要。进一步发展两国合作应以服务俄罗斯利益和经济安全为基础。因此,扩大贝加尔湖地区与中国经贸合作的有利方向是提高原材料加工深度和制成品出口量。
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The Contemporary Peculiarities and the Prospects of the Foreign Trade Cooperation Development of the Baikal Region and the Peoples Republic of China
Nowadays, Russian-Chinese trade and economic cooperation has positive dynamics of development. In 2018, the foreign trade turnover between Russia and China accounted for $ 108,2 bln. However, notwithstanding the achieved results, there is still a number of serious problems. The main ones are an insignificant share of Russia in the foreign trade turnover of China (approximately 2 %) and raw-material orientation of Russian export to China (the share of mineral products in the export accounts for 76 %). The basis of the export and import pattern of Russian-Chinese trade is formed at the regional level. Nowadays, China is the main foreign trade partner of the Baikal Region, the share of which in the overall volume of Russian-Chinese foreign trade accounts for 5,5 % (8,9 % in the export, and 1,9 % in the import). The Baikal Region is export-oriented. Raw materials prevail in the trade pattern of the export to China, the share of which accounts for more than 90 % of the overall export. Search for directions and modernization instruments for economy and a switch over to the innovative development have become especially significant for the regions of Siberia and the Far East under the current conditions, taking into account the predictions for the global economy. The further development of the bilateral cooperation should be based on serving the interests and economic security of Russia. Thus, an advantageous direction for expansion of the trade and economic cooperation of the Baikal Region and China is an increase of the raw materials processing depth and of the export volume of the manufactured goods.
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