主题演讲:新硅时代4.0:用虚拟摩尔定律经济学和异构技术生成半导体智能范式

Nicky Liu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

硅基经济的未来不会像一些评论家所说的那样悲观,因为他们预测摩尔定律经济(ME)将在本世纪20年代初终结。相反,虚拟摩尔定律经济(Virtual Moore’s Law Economy, VME)将会蓬勃发展,通过优化物理、材料、器件、电路/芯片、软件和系统,通过一种新的硅方式来生产各种应用驱动的异构集成(HI)纳米系统,从而推动创新,为业务增长提供令人兴奋的应用。即使考虑到更昂贵的硅投资,半导体行业也将从新的应用和系统产品销售中获得足够的财务回报。这种基于(函数×值)向下加向上缩放方法的技术方法,以及线性缩放、面积缩放和体积缩放方法,可以从根本上改变思维和执行方式,以整体HIDAS (HI设计/架构/系统)方法连贯地优化技术定义和最终系统设计。这将推动集成电路扩展到有效的1纳米领域,刺激蓬勃发展的硅产业,至少有30年的时间增长到1万亿美元的规模。
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Keynote: A new Silicon Age 4.0: Generating semiconductor-intelligence paradigm with a Virtual Moore's Law Economics and Heterogeneous technologies
The future of the silicon-based economy will not be as pessimistic as some commentators have argued, given their predictions of the end of Moore's Law Economy (ME) by the early 2020s. On the contrary, a Virtual Moore's Law Economy (VME) will develop and thrive, advancing innovation by a new Silicon Way of producing various application-driven Heterogeneous Integrated (HI) Nano-systems by optimization of physics, materials, devices, circuits/chips, software and systems to enable exciting applications for business growth. The semiconductor industry will enjoy sufficient financial returns from new application and system-product sales, even considering more expensive silicon investment. Such a technological approach based on a (Function × Value)-Scaling Down-Plus-Up Methodology, in addition to Linear-Scaling, Area-Scaling and Volumetric-Scaling Methodologies, can fundamentally change the way of thinking and execution toward optimizing coherently both technology definition and final system design with an holistic HIDAS (HI Design/Architecture/System) method. This will drive IC scaling to an effective 1-Nanometer Realm, stimulating a thriving silicon industry which can have at least 30 more years of growth toward a 1 trillion-dollar size.
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