压缩项目以减少增加的风险和成本

Qinglan Chen, Liu Chen, Xiang-Ting Zeng, Chiu-Chi Wei
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在竞争激烈的市场环境中,组织必须提高生产力,降低生产成本,改进管理方法,才能保持有利的竞争地位。项目因素,如时间、成本和风险是紧密相连的。如果其中一个因素失控,整个项目的进度将不可避免地受到影响。当项目进度延迟时,通常采用工期压缩措施,如崩溃或快速跟踪,以确保向后的进度恢复到原计划。然而,工期压缩措施的实施增加了项目的成本和风险。在以往的关键路径研究中,大多只考虑活动时间,没有考虑成本和风险。本文建立了以风险和成本最小为目标的最优工期压缩方案的数学模型。通过两个算例对模型进行了验证,并利用LINGO软件和Excel求解器得到了最优解。该数学模型为工程提供了最佳工期压缩方案,成本和风险的增加最小。
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Compressing project to minimize the increased risk and cost
In a highly competitive market environment, organizations must improve their productivity, reduce production costs and improve management methods, in order to maintain a favorable competitive position. Project factors, such as time, cost and risk are closely linked. If one of those factors is out of control, the progress of the whole project will inevitably be delayed. When the progress of the project is delayed, duration compression measures such as crashing or fast tracking are usually employed to ensure the backward schedule returns to the original plan. However, the implementation of duration compression measures increases the cost and risk of the project. In most previous study of the critical path, only activity time is involved, and cost and risk are not considered. In the present study, a mathematical model is built to solve the optimal duration compression scheme objectives of the minimization of risk and cost. The model is verified by two cases, and the best solution is obtained by using LINGO software and Excel solver. The mathematical model is found to provide the best duration compression scheme for the project, with the least increases in cost and risk.
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