探索性空间技术在土耳其爱琴海地区旅游热点识别中的应用

A. Rafique, I. R. Karas, S. Abujayyab, Ashfak ahmad Khan, E. Demiral
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摘要

摘要探索性空间分析技术(Exploratory Spatial Analysis Techniques, ESDA)在自然科学和社会科学的许多领域已成为识别不同变量的空间关联的热门方法。Global Moran’s I统计数据的应用使我们能够提供空间数据的可视化洞察。基于空间自相关,它有助于检测活动或过程的空间模式和热点。本研究旨在探讨土耳其爱琴海地区所有8个省123个城市的国内和入境游客的空间依赖性。为了进行分析,从土耳其文化和旅游部收集了2015-2019年国内和入境游客的城市数据,并将其转换为对数形式以避免任何偏倚。利用Arc GIS和GeoDa软件对区域旅游流热点进行空间自相关分析和可视化。研究结果表明,该地区的旅游流量主要集中在沿海地区,而内陆城市接待的游客数量不足。旅游热点主要位于伊兹密尔省、艾丁省和穆拉省的沿海城镇。该研究为旅游热点地区的资源配置提供了有益的信息,并为可持续旅游政策的制定提供了有益的启示。
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APPLICATION OF EXPLORATORY SPATIAL TECHNIQUES IN THE IDENTIFICATION OF TOURISM HOTSPOTS IN THE AEGEAN REGION OF TURKEY
Abstract. Exploratory Spatial Analysis Techniques (ESDA) have become popular to identify the spatial association of different variables in many fields of natural and social sciences. The application of Global Moran’s I statistics enables us to provide visual insights of spatial data. It helps to detect spatial patterns and hotspots of an activity or process, based on spatial autocorrelation. This study aims to investigate the spatial dependence of domestic and inbound tourist arrivals to 123 cities of all eight provinces of the Aegean Region of Turkey. For analysis, city-level data about domestic and inbound tourist arrivals during 2015–2019 is collected from the Turkish Ministry of Culture and Tourism and is converted to logarithm form to avoid any skewness. The Arc GIS and GeoDa programs are employed for the analysis of spatial autocorrelation and visualization of hotspots of tourist flows in the regions. The results of the study reveal that tourist flows in the region are concentrated in the coastal areas, while inland cities receive an insufficient number of tourists. The hotspots of tourist flow are located mostly in the coastal towns of the provinces of Izmir, Aydin, and Mugla. The study is significant in the provision of useful information regarding resource allocation to the tourism hotspots and the implication of sustainable tourism policy to better utilization of tourism potential.
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