太阳极小期活动日与太阳周期参数

IF 0.6 Q4 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences Pub Date : 2021-03-01 DOI:10.5140/JASS.2021.38.1.23
Heon-Young Chang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用2015年以来新版本的太阳黑子数和群黑子数数据集,我们统计研究了描述太阳周期的太阳活动参数与月黑子数与月活跃日数百分比(AD)之间线性关系的斜率之间的关系。为了评估利用活动日数来预测太阳活动的可能性,值得重新审视和扩展先前进行的分析。在计算皮尔逊线性相关系数r、斯皮尔曼秩序相关系数rs和肯德尔τ系数与拒绝概率时,我们用三种不同的方法计算了给定太阳周期的斜率,即分别计算太阳周期上升阶段和下降阶段以及太阳极小期±2年对应的时间段内的无黑天。我们发现,给定太阳周期的最大太阳黑子数和上升阶段的持续时间与月黑子数和AD的线性函数斜率几乎不相关。另一方面,太阳活动周期的持续时间被发现与坡度有些微相关,拒绝概率小于百分之几。我们也试着比较了在偶数和奇数太阳周期中,月黑子数与AD的关系。然而,月群数与AD之间线性关系的斜率是否受偶数和奇数太阳周期的影响尚不确定。
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Active Days around Solar Minimum and Solar Cycle Parameter
Utilizing a new version of the sunspot number and group sunspot number dataset available since 2015, we have statistically studied the relationship between solar activity parameters describing solar cycles and the slope of the linear relationship between the monthly sunspot numbers and the monthly number of active days in percentage (AD). As an effort of evaluating possibilities in use of the number of active days to predict solar activity, it is worthwhile to revisit and extend the analysis performed earlier. In calculating the Pearson’s linear correlation coefficient r, the Spearman’s rank-order correlation coefficient rs, and the Kendall’s τ coefficient with the rejection probability, we have calculated the slope for a given solar cycle in three different ways, namely, by counting the spotless day that occurred during the ascending phase and the descending phase of the solar cycle separately, and during the period corresponding to solar minimum ± 2 years as well. We have found that the maximum solar sunspot number of a given solar cycle and the duration of the ascending phase are hardly correlated with the slope of a linear function of the monthly sunspot numbers and AD. On the other hand, the duration of a solar cycle is found to be marginally correlated with the slope with the rejection probabilities less than a couple of percent. We have also attempted to compare the relation of the monthly sunspot numbers with AD for the even and odd solar cycles. It is inconclusive, however, that the slopes of the linear relationship between the monthly group numbers and AD are subject to the even and odd solar cycles.
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来源期刊
Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS-
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
20.00%
发文量
0
审稿时长
12 weeks
期刊介绍: JASS aims for the promotion of global awareness and understanding of space science and related applications. Unlike other journals that focus either on space science or on space technologies, it intends to bridge the two communities of space science and technologies, by providing opportunities to exchange ideas and viewpoints in a single journal. Topics suitable for publication in JASS include researches in the following fields: space astronomy, solar physics, magnetospheric and ionospheric physics, cosmic ray, space weather, and planetary sciences; space instrumentation, satellite dynamics, geodesy, spacecraft control, and spacecraft navigation. However, the topics covered by JASS are not restricted to those mentioned above as the journal also encourages submission of research results in all other branches related to space science and technologies. Even though JASS was established on the heritage and achievements of the Korean space science community, it is now open to the worldwide community, while maintaining a high standard as a leading international journal. Hence, it solicits papers from the international community with a vision of global collaboration in the fields of space science and technologies.
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