{"title":"太阳极小期活动日与太阳周期参数","authors":"Heon-Young Chang","doi":"10.5140/JASS.2021.38.1.23","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Utilizing a new version of the sunspot number and group sunspot number dataset\n available since 2015, we have statistically studied the relationship between solar\n activity parameters describing solar cycles and the slope of the linear relationship\n between the monthly sunspot numbers and the monthly number of active days in percentage\n (AD). As an effort of evaluating possibilities in use of the number of active days to\n predict solar activity, it is worthwhile to revisit and extend the analysis performed\n earlier. In calculating the Pearson’s linear correlation coefficient r, the Spearman’s\n rank-order correlation coefficient rs, and the Kendall’s τ coefficient with the\n rejection probability, we have calculated the slope for a given solar cycle in three\n different ways, namely, by counting the spotless day that occurred during the ascending\n phase and the descending phase of the solar cycle separately, and during the period\n corresponding to solar minimum ± 2 years as well. We have found that the maximum solar\n sunspot number of a given solar cycle and the duration of the ascending phase are hardly\n correlated with the slope of a linear function of the monthly sunspot numbers and AD. On\n the other hand, the duration of a solar cycle is found to be marginally correlated with\n the slope with the rejection probabilities less than a couple of percent. We have also\n attempted to compare the relation of the monthly sunspot numbers with AD for the even\n and odd solar cycles. It is inconclusive, however, that the slopes of the linear\n relationship between the monthly group numbers and AD are subject to the even and odd\n solar cycles.","PeriodicalId":44366,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.6000,"publicationDate":"2021-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Active Days around Solar Minimum and Solar Cycle Parameter\",\"authors\":\"Heon-Young Chang\",\"doi\":\"10.5140/JASS.2021.38.1.23\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Utilizing a new version of the sunspot number and group sunspot number dataset\\n available since 2015, we have statistically studied the relationship between solar\\n activity parameters describing solar cycles and the slope of the linear relationship\\n between the monthly sunspot numbers and the monthly number of active days in percentage\\n (AD). As an effort of evaluating possibilities in use of the number of active days to\\n predict solar activity, it is worthwhile to revisit and extend the analysis performed\\n earlier. In calculating the Pearson’s linear correlation coefficient r, the Spearman’s\\n rank-order correlation coefficient rs, and the Kendall’s τ coefficient with the\\n rejection probability, we have calculated the slope for a given solar cycle in three\\n different ways, namely, by counting the spotless day that occurred during the ascending\\n phase and the descending phase of the solar cycle separately, and during the period\\n corresponding to solar minimum ± 2 years as well. We have found that the maximum solar\\n sunspot number of a given solar cycle and the duration of the ascending phase are hardly\\n correlated with the slope of a linear function of the monthly sunspot numbers and AD. On\\n the other hand, the duration of a solar cycle is found to be marginally correlated with\\n the slope with the rejection probabilities less than a couple of percent. We have also\\n attempted to compare the relation of the monthly sunspot numbers with AD for the even\\n and odd solar cycles. It is inconclusive, however, that the slopes of the linear\\n relationship between the monthly group numbers and AD are subject to the even and odd\\n solar cycles.\",\"PeriodicalId\":44366,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences\",\"volume\":\"33 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-03-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.5140/JASS.2021.38.1.23\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.5140/JASS.2021.38.1.23","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Active Days around Solar Minimum and Solar Cycle Parameter
Utilizing a new version of the sunspot number and group sunspot number dataset
available since 2015, we have statistically studied the relationship between solar
activity parameters describing solar cycles and the slope of the linear relationship
between the monthly sunspot numbers and the monthly number of active days in percentage
(AD). As an effort of evaluating possibilities in use of the number of active days to
predict solar activity, it is worthwhile to revisit and extend the analysis performed
earlier. In calculating the Pearson’s linear correlation coefficient r, the Spearman’s
rank-order correlation coefficient rs, and the Kendall’s τ coefficient with the
rejection probability, we have calculated the slope for a given solar cycle in three
different ways, namely, by counting the spotless day that occurred during the ascending
phase and the descending phase of the solar cycle separately, and during the period
corresponding to solar minimum ± 2 years as well. We have found that the maximum solar
sunspot number of a given solar cycle and the duration of the ascending phase are hardly
correlated with the slope of a linear function of the monthly sunspot numbers and AD. On
the other hand, the duration of a solar cycle is found to be marginally correlated with
the slope with the rejection probabilities less than a couple of percent. We have also
attempted to compare the relation of the monthly sunspot numbers with AD for the even
and odd solar cycles. It is inconclusive, however, that the slopes of the linear
relationship between the monthly group numbers and AD are subject to the even and odd
solar cycles.
期刊介绍:
JASS aims for the promotion of global awareness and understanding of space science and related applications. Unlike other journals that focus either on space science or on space technologies, it intends to bridge the two communities of space science and technologies, by providing opportunities to exchange ideas and viewpoints in a single journal. Topics suitable for publication in JASS include researches in the following fields: space astronomy, solar physics, magnetospheric and ionospheric physics, cosmic ray, space weather, and planetary sciences; space instrumentation, satellite dynamics, geodesy, spacecraft control, and spacecraft navigation. However, the topics covered by JASS are not restricted to those mentioned above as the journal also encourages submission of research results in all other branches related to space science and technologies. Even though JASS was established on the heritage and achievements of the Korean space science community, it is now open to the worldwide community, while maintaining a high standard as a leading international journal. Hence, it solicits papers from the international community with a vision of global collaboration in the fields of space science and technologies.