covid -19大流行前后加密货币的总体和网络定向连通性

Leavitt Ha, Nguyen Van Dai
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文介绍了波动性如何通过加密货币市场传播。我们的论文为加密货币的波动性连通性提供了证据。不同的计量经济学技术,包括随机波动率(SVOL)模型和使用准贝叶斯局部似然(QBLL)的时变参数VAR模型,被应用于衡量加密货币市场的波动性。利用2018-2021年最大加密货币的高频日内数据,我们发现加密货币市场在2019年初、2020年初和2021年全年的波动很大。总连通性值表明,随着新冠病毒在2021年底出现,加密货币市场将出现波动。然而,通过使用定向连通性,我们揭示了特定加密货币对其他加密货币的负面和正面溢出效应。COVID-19健康危机前的巨大波动源于每种加密货币波动之间的正共振(对称),而这次健康危机导致加密货币的积极和消极溢出效应(不对称),这使得市场波动比实际情况要弱。
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Total and Net-Directional Connectedness of Cryptocurrencies During the Pre- and Post-COVID-19 Pandemic
This paper presents how volatility propagates through the cryptocurrency market. Our paper provides evidence for volatility connectedness on cryptocurrencies. The different econometric techniques, including the stochastic volatility (SVOL) model and time-varying parameter VAR models using a quasi-Bayesian local likelihood (QBLL), are applied to measure the volatility of the cryptocurrency market. Using high-frequency, intra-day data of the largest cryptocurrencies over 2018–2021, we detect the great volatility of the cryptocurrency market are the beginning of 2019, the beginning of 2020, and throughout the year of 2021. The total connectedness values suggest that the cryptocurrency market becomes volatile as the new strains of the Covid-19 appear at the end of 2021. However, by using directional connectedness, we reveal that there are negative and positive spillovers from a specific cryptocurrency to other cryptocurrencies. The great fluctuations in the period before the COVID-19 health crisis stem from the positive resonance (symmetric) between the volatility of each cryptocurrency, while this health crisis leads to substantially positive and negative spillovers (asymmetric) of cryptocurrencies, and this makes market volatility weaker than it actually is.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
18
期刊介绍: Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP) is a peer-reviewed journal that seeks to publish high-quality research papers that explore important dimensions of the global economic system (including trade, finance, investment and labor flows). JICEP is particularly interested in potentially influential research that is analytical or empirical but with heavy emphasis on international dimensions of economics, business and related public policy. Papers must aim to be thought-provoking and combine rigor with readability so as to be of interest to both researchers as well as policymakers. JICEP is not region-specific and especially welcomes research exploring the growing economic interdependence between countries and regions.
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