监视一系列发行版中的变更点

Lajos Horváth, P. Kokoszka, Shixuan Wang
{"title":"监视一系列发行版中的变更点","authors":"Lajos Horváth, P. Kokoszka, Shixuan Wang","doi":"10.1214/20-aos2036","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We propose a method for the detection of a change point in a sequence $\\{F_i\\}$ of distributions, which are available through a large number of observations at each $i \\geq 1$. Under the null hypothesis, the distributions $F_i$ are equal. Under the alternative hypothesis, there is a change point $i^* > 1$, such that $F_i = G$ for $i \\geq i^*$ and some unknown distribution $G$, which is not equal to $F_1$. The change point, if it exists, is unknown, and the distributions before and after the potential change point are unknown. The decision about the existence of a change point is made sequentially, as new data arrive. At each time $i$, the count of observations, $N$, can increase to infinity. The detection procedure is based on a weighted version of the Wasserstein distance. Its asymptotic and finite sample validity is established. Its performance is illustrated by an application to returns on stocks in the S&P 500 index.","PeriodicalId":22375,"journal":{"name":"The Annals of Statistics","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Monitoring for a change point in a sequence of distributions\",\"authors\":\"Lajos Horváth, P. Kokoszka, Shixuan Wang\",\"doi\":\"10.1214/20-aos2036\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We propose a method for the detection of a change point in a sequence $\\\\{F_i\\\\}$ of distributions, which are available through a large number of observations at each $i \\\\geq 1$. Under the null hypothesis, the distributions $F_i$ are equal. Under the alternative hypothesis, there is a change point $i^* > 1$, such that $F_i = G$ for $i \\\\geq i^*$ and some unknown distribution $G$, which is not equal to $F_1$. The change point, if it exists, is unknown, and the distributions before and after the potential change point are unknown. The decision about the existence of a change point is made sequentially, as new data arrive. At each time $i$, the count of observations, $N$, can increase to infinity. The detection procedure is based on a weighted version of the Wasserstein distance. Its asymptotic and finite sample validity is established. Its performance is illustrated by an application to returns on stocks in the S&P 500 index.\",\"PeriodicalId\":22375,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"The Annals of Statistics\",\"volume\":\"21 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-08-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"The Annals of Statistics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1214/20-aos2036\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"The Annals of Statistics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1214/20-aos2036","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2

摘要

我们提出了一种在分布序列$\{F_i\}$中检测变化点的方法,这些分布可以通过在每个$i \geq 1$上的大量观测得到。零假设下,分布$F_i$相等。在备择假设下,有一个变化点$i^* > 1$,使得$i \geq i^*$和某个未知分布$G$的$F_i = G$不等于$F_1$。如果存在变化点,则变化点是未知的,并且潜在变化点前后的分布是未知的。当新数据到达时,依次做出关于变更点是否存在的决定。在每一次$i$,观测的计数$N$可以增加到无穷大。检测过程是基于Wasserstein距离的加权版本。建立了它的渐近和有限样本有效性。它的表现可以用标准普尔500指数成份股的回报率来说明。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Monitoring for a change point in a sequence of distributions
We propose a method for the detection of a change point in a sequence $\{F_i\}$ of distributions, which are available through a large number of observations at each $i \geq 1$. Under the null hypothesis, the distributions $F_i$ are equal. Under the alternative hypothesis, there is a change point $i^* > 1$, such that $F_i = G$ for $i \geq i^*$ and some unknown distribution $G$, which is not equal to $F_1$. The change point, if it exists, is unknown, and the distributions before and after the potential change point are unknown. The decision about the existence of a change point is made sequentially, as new data arrive. At each time $i$, the count of observations, $N$, can increase to infinity. The detection procedure is based on a weighted version of the Wasserstein distance. Its asymptotic and finite sample validity is established. Its performance is illustrated by an application to returns on stocks in the S&P 500 index.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
Maximum likelihood for high-noise group orbit estimation and single-particle cryo-EM Local Whittle estimation of high-dimensional long-run variance and precision matrices Efficient estimation of the maximal association between multiple predictors and a survival outcome The impacts of unobserved covariates on covariate-adaptive randomized experiments Estimation of expected Euler characteristic curves of nonstationary smooth random fields
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1