媒体关注与股票分类:对奥运炒作股票的考察

Patricia M. Dechow, A. Lawrence, Mei Luo, Ventsislav Stamenov
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摘要

我们调查了媒体列出的涉及重大体育赛事(夏季奥运会)的股票是否存在暂时的估值影响。我们研究了五届夏季奥运会,并找出了被媒体炒作为受益于奥运会的股票(奥运股)。我们发现,奥运类股票在中标公告后的收益变动呈上升趋势,而在奥运会后的收益变动呈下降趋势,这与投资者将奥运作为投资的一个类别是一致的。此外,在这段时间内,奥林匹克股票的回报率优于其同行。如果变动和估值收益是由于基础经济的变化,那么我们预计将观察到基本面变动和盈利能力改善的相应增加。然而,我们发现基本走势或盈利能力没有可观察到的变化。与投资者情绪驱动分类一致,我们发现,拥有更多散户投资者的奥运公司具有更强的运动效应;在媒体将奥运与奥运联系在一起的日子里,奥运公司的交易量和波动性都异常高。为了澄清基于事件的分类发生在媒体对股票进行投资分类的其他设置中,我们显示了分析师和媒体分类为“居家”的股票和Reddit社交媒体平台上散户投资者分类为“Meme”的股票的变动增加。
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Media Attention and Stock Categorization: An Examination of Stocks Hyped to Benefit from the Olympics
We investigate whether there are temporary valuation impacts on stocks that media outlets list as involved in a major sporting event (the summer Olympics). We examine five summer Olympics and identify stocks that media outlets hype as benefiting from the Olympics (Olympic stocks). We find that Olympic stocks exhibit increases in comovement of returns after the announcement of the winning bid and declines in comovements after the games are played, consistent with the Olympics being used by investors as a category for investment. Furthermore, Olympic stock returns outperform their matched counterparts over this time period. If the comovement and valuation benefits are due to changes in underlying economics then we expect to observe corresponding increases in comovements of fundamentals and improvements in profitability. However, we find no observable changes in fundamental comovements or profitability. Consistent with investor sentiment driving the categorization, we find that Olympic firms with a greater retail investor presence have stronger comovements effects; and trading volume and volatility are abnormally high for Olympic firms on days where media outlets have stories linking the firm to the Olympic games. To clarify event-based categorization occurs in other settings where media outlets classify stocks for investment, we show comovement increases for stocks classified as “Stay-at-Home” by analysts and the media and “Meme” by retail investors on the Reddit social media platform.
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