利用Cell-DEVS研究地理数据和不规则拓扑的疾病传播

Román Cárdenas, Cristina Ruiz Martin, Gabriel A. Wainer, P. Dobias, Mark Rempel
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引用次数: 1

摘要

建模和模拟(M&S)技术已被证明是了解疾病如何传播和评估旨在控制疾病的决策(例如,行动限制)有效性的有效方法。最近,各国政府使用这种方法来确定COVID-19大流行的演变。在这种情况下,考虑地理信息的M&S工具可以提高模拟的质量。这项研究提出了一种方法,使建模者能够建立包含地理信息的疾病传播模型原型。该模型可以很容易地参数化其他地理区域和疾病。我们提出了一个疾病传播模型的案例研究来展示这种方法是如何工作的。
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Studying the Spread of Diseases Using Geographical Data and Irregular Topologies with Cell-DEVS
Modeling and Simulation (M&S) techniques have been proven to be effective to understand how diseases spread and assess the effectiveness of decisions aimed to control them (e.g., mobility restrictions). Recently, governments used this approach to determine the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this context, M&S tools that consider geographical information can improve the quality of the simulations. This research presents a methodology that allows modelers to prototype disease spread models that include geographical information. The model can be easily parameterized for other geographical regions and diseases. We present a case study of a disease spread model to show how this methodology works.
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