马铃薯晚疫病和马铃薯块茎疫病防治的生物学和经济学研究

L. Wiik, H. Rosenqvist, E. Liljeroth
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引用次数: 3

摘要

对1993-1996年22个田间试验的旧结果和2010-2013年12个田间试验的新结果进行了经济分析,分析了不同剂量杀菌剂防治马铃薯晚疫病和马铃薯块茎疫病的效果。目的是确定经济上最优的有效控制剂量。1993-1996年,治疗间隔约两周,剂量为建议水平的60%时,经济净收益最高。净收益最高的试验处理与未处理对照的差异在敏感品种中为1587欧元/公顷(ha-1),而在中等抗性品种中仅为531欧元/公顷(ha-1)。此外,所有处理的敏感品种和所有处理的中等抗性品种的净收益平均差异为874€ha-1。在PLB最大攻击最低的一半田间试验中,经济收入最高的试验处理与未处理对照的差异为547€ha-1,而最大攻击最高的一半试验与未处理对照的差异为1571€ha-1。2010-2013年的研究结果均以处理间隔约一周为基础,结果表明,食用马铃薯的经济净收益在推荐用量的100%和75%时最高,而淀粉马铃薯品种的经济净收益在推荐用量的50%和25%时最高。净财务结果是根据13种不同情况计算的。正如预期的那样,马铃薯价格和马铃薯作物的产量和质量是最重要的。根据不同的处理间隔和剂量,杀菌剂的价格对净利润的影响在167至656欧元/公顷之间。这些结果挑战了当今传统马铃薯种植中控制晚疫病的方式,特别是淀粉马铃薯。因此,我们建议未来几年的投资将基于不同寄主对褐斑病和褐斑病抗性的品种的剂量范围反应,以及不同马铃薯品种对褐斑病和褐斑病防治的预测和预警。我们认为,这些投资对于优化马铃薯种植中杀菌剂的使用非常有价值。
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Study on Biological and Economic Considerations in the Control of Potato Late Blight and Potato Tuber Blight
An economic analysis was made of old results from 1993-1996 (22 field trials) and new results from 2010-2013 (12 field trials) obtained in field trials with different doses of fungicides to control potato late blight (PLB) and potato tuber blight (PTB) caused by Phytophthora infestans. The objective was to determine the economically optimal dose for effective control. In 1993-1996, the economic net return was highest for long intervals of about two weeks between treatments and a dose of 60% of the recommended level. The difference between the experimental treatment with the highest net return and the untreated control was 1587 € per hectare (ha-1) in susceptible cultivars, but only 531 € ha-1 in moderately resistant cultivars. In addition, the mean difference in net return between all treated susceptible and all treated moderately resistant cultivars was 874 € ha-1. In the half of the field trials with the lowest maximum attack of PLB, the difference between the experimental treatment with the highest economic income and untreated control was 547 € ha-1, while it was 1571 € ha-1 in the half of the trials with the highest maximum attack. The results for 2010-2013, which were all based on a short treatment interval of about one week between treatments, showed that in table potato the economic net return was highest at 100% and 75% of the recommended dose, whereas in starch potato cultivars it was highest at 50% and 25% of the recommended dose. The net financial result was calculated for 13 different scenarios. As expected, potato price and potato crop yield and quality were of the greatest importance. The price of fungicides affected net profits by between 167 and 656 € ha-1 depending on treatment intervals and dose. These results challenge the way in which late blight is controlled in conventional potato farming today, especially in starch potatoes. We therefore propose investment in future years be based on the dose-range response in cultivars with differing host resistance to both PLB and PTB, and on forecasting and warning with respect to PLB- and PTB-control in different potato cultivars. We believe that such investment could be very valuable in optimizing the use of fungicides in potato cultivation.
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