人类健康风险的定量评价与分析

Yang Duogui , Gao Feipeng
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引用次数: 3

摘要

健康状况关系到一个国家乃至世界经济社会的发展。得出影响健康风险的因素包括环境污染、食品安全、疾病威胁和卫生保健状况,并提出了健康风险的指标体系。在建立指标体系的基础上,选取了40个国家进行人类健康风险状况评价。采用层次聚类分析的方法,将40个国家分为4组,分析了每组的特征。与同等经济发展水平的其他国家相比,中国的人体健康风险要高得多。我们分析了人类健康风险与经济发展水平之间的相关性,得出当人均国民总收入在1000美元到3000美元之间时,一个国家应该重视改善人类健康状况。这一阶段对经济发展和人类健康状况的改善至关重要。我们发现,人类健康风险高的国家大多在非洲和亚洲。发达国家应帮助发展中国家降低人类健康风险,实现全人类发展的共赢。
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Quantitative Evaluation and Analysis on Human Health Risk

Health condition is related to the economic and social development of a country and the whole world. We concluded that the influencing factors of health risk include environment pollution, food security, disease threat and health care condition, and then an indicators system is put forward in the paper. Based on the foundation of the indicators system, 40 countries were chosen to evaluate the condition of human health risk. With the method of Hierarchical Cluster Analysis, 40 countries were divided into four groups, and we analyzed the characteristic of each group. Compared with other countries at the similar development level of economy, the human health risk of China is much higher. We analyzed the correlation between human health risk and the economy development level, and then we concluded that a country should attach importance to improving the condition of human health, when the GNI per capita is between $ 1000 and 3000 US dollars. The stage is vital for economy development, and also for the improvement of the human health condition. We found that countries with high human health risk are mostly in Africa and Asia. The developed countries should help the developing countries reduce the human health risk for a win-win situation of the development of the whole humanity.

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