巴西巴拉那河上游地区降雨网络密度、分类及降雨时空分析

Pub Date : 2023-06-23 DOI:10.1590/2318-0331.282320220101
Eduarda Noriko Tokuda, C. G. R. Lima, Milton Dall’Aglio Sobrinho, Jefferson Nascimento de Oliveira
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引用次数: 0

摘要

水管理的目的是确保水的可用性,以满足当前和未来对水资源的需求。为此,必须建立监测网络,支持对干扰流域降雨状况的事件进行调查,例如海洋-大气现象El Niño -南方涛动(ENSO)的阶段。根据世界气象组织(WMO)对巴西上巴拉那河(UPR)地区的14个管理流域提出了降雨网络的分类。另一方面,利用地球统计学技术,结合ENSO数据,分析了年降水量的时空变化特征。为此目的,通过Hidroweb门户网站收集了1990年至2020年期间408个站点的数据。从观测网络中验证了该区域数据的低代表性。降水量减少幅度最大和最小的地区分别是普遍定期审议区的北部和西北部,以及帕拉纳河周边地区。2019年和2020年是近30年来最关键的时期,49.55%的研究区降雨量低于平均水平(-13.21%),表明干旱情景将持续存在。
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Density and classification of the rainfall network and spatiotemporal analysis of rain in the upper Parana river region, Brazil
ABSTRACT Water management aims to ensure the water availability necessary to meet the current and future demand for water resources. For which it is essential to implement monitoring networks that support the investigation of events that interfere with the rainfall regime of watersheds, such the phases of the ocean-atmospheric phenomenon El Niño – Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The classification of the rainfall network was proposed according to the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) for 14 management watersheds in the Upper Parana River (UPR) region, Brazil. On the other hand, the spatial and temporal variability of annual rainfall was analyzed using geostatistical techniques and confronted with ENSO data. To this purpose, data from 408 stations were collected via the Hidroweb portal, for the period from 1990 to 2020. The low representativeness of data in the region was verified from the observational network. The areas with the lowest and highest rainfall reduction were the north and northwest regions of the UPR, and the areas surrounding the Paraná River, respectively. The years 2019 and 2020 were identified as the most critical period of the last 3 decades with below-average rainfall (-13.21%) in 49.55% of the studied area, indicating a persistence in the drought scenario.
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