Growth and Instability of Mango and Guava Fruit Crops of Uttar Pradesh, India

Fruit production contributes significantly to food security and economic empowerment in Uttar Pradesh State of India. To ensure sustainable economic contribution of the commodities, understanding the growth and instability trends in crop area and production is imperative. The study analyzed growth and instability in area and production of mango and guava in the State. Time series data from 2005-06 to 2020-21 of the of mango and guava crops area and production of U.P. State were analyzed using semi log function. Result of the growth analysis indicated that growth rate of area and production of mango and guava were positive. The mango and guava fruits crop area and production data were analyzed to determine the instability and growth rates in area and production of these two fruit crops of Uttar Pradesh State covering the most recent period from 2005-06 to 2020-21 by using coefficient of variance (CV) compound growth rates (CGR). It was found that mango registered variability of 3.67% and 18.98%, and compound growth rates of 0.55% and 4.16% in crop area and production, respectively during 16 years period (2005-06 to 2020-21). Similarly, guava registered variability of 62.36% and 6.16%, and compound growth rates of 15.13% and 18.86% in crop area and production, respectively during 16 years period (2005-06 to 2020-21). It is found that growth rates in crop area of mango and guava are lower than growth rate of production in these two crops. This indicates that area has marginal impact on production of these two crops; however, technological interventions such as improved varieties, integrated nutrient and water management, canopy management, integrated pest management, etc., might have more impact on fruit product. This type of study is useful for policy makers/ government in improving fruit production.