津巴布韦东南部降水模式对湿地大小的影响分析

F. Makarati, T. Ruhiiga, L. Palamuleni
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文对降雨变率影响湿地损失的假设进行了检验。津巴布韦有有限的研究认识到降雨变化对湿地损失的影响。本研究的目的是确定降雨变率随时间对湿地大小的影响。1972年至2008年的地形图提供了湿地位置及其大小随时间变化的数据。1980 - 2015年Masvingo省的降水数据来自津巴布韦气象服务部门(MSD)。统计分析表明,降雨变率与湿地损失之间不存在相关性。因此,降雨变率与湿地损失之间不存在相关性。研究结果表明,不同湿地的湿地面积变化速率不同。对湿地管理的启示是,干预措施应主要解决湿地损失的人为因素,而不是降雨量的变化。因此,制定一个湿地恢复计划是至关重要的,该计划能够管理社区所依赖的河流和湿地的水。关键词:气候变化,降雨变率,标准降水指数(SPI),湿地恢复,津巴布韦
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Analysis of the influence of precipitation patterns on wetland sizes in South-Eastern Zimbabwe
In this paper, the hypothesis that rainfall variability has an impact on wetland loss is tested. There is limited research in Zimbabwe that recognises the influence of rainfall variability on wetland loss. The purpose of this research is to determine the influence of rainfall variability on wetland size over time. Topographical maps, for the period 1972 to 2008, provided data on wetland locations and their changes in size with time. Rainfall data for Masvingo province for the 1980 to 2015 period was obtained from the Meteorological Services Department (MSD) of Zimbabwe. Statistical analysis shows that there is no relationship between rainfall variability and wetland loss. It can be concluded that there is no relationship between rainfall variability and wetland loss therefore. The research findings show that the rates of change in wetland size differ from one wetland to another. The implications on wetland management are that interventions should largely address human causal factors of wetland loss than rainfall variability. Therefore, it is vital to devise a wetland rehabilitation plan that enables management of water from the rivers and wetlands that the communities depend on.   Key words: Climate change, rainfall variability, standard precipitation index (SPI), wetland rehabilitation, Zimbabwe.
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