1970-2015年俄罗斯冬季极端气温和降水变化的区域特征

IF 0.7 Q4 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Led i Sneg-Ice and Snow Pub Date : 2018-12-10 DOI:10.15356/2076-6734-2018-4-486-497
T. B. Titkova, E. Cherenkova, V. Semenov
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引用次数: 7

摘要

基于气象站的日常观测,研究了1970-2015年俄罗斯境内冬季极端事件发生的时空动态。研究发现,整体而言,香港的日最高气温和日最高降水日数明显增加,而极冷日数则明显减少。最明显的变化发生在俄罗斯的欧洲部分,在二十一世纪初,极端事件的发生比过去三十年都要多。在21世纪初,西伯利亚南部日最高气温和日最低气温的增加是同步的。这种组合似乎是由于该地区的温度变异性增加造成的,这是由于冬季交替出现极端霜冻和温暖潮湿的冬季。俄罗斯欧洲部分出现极端高温的频率增加,可能是由于普遍变暖和AMO影响的增加造成的。西伯利亚南部极端高温和极端低温频率的增加可能是由于一个中心在喀拉海沿岸附近的反气旋环流异常的形成,该异常负责东北冷气团的平流。以及西伯利亚南部的气旋形成,沿着温带纬度的东部边缘可以接收来自亚热带的异常暖空气。
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Regional features of changes in winter extreme temperatures and precipitation in Russia in 1970–2015
Te space-time dynamics of the occurrence of winter extreme events is investigated on the territory of Russia in 1970-2015 on the basis of daily observations at weather stations. It was found that a whole on the territory a noticeable increase in the occurrence of days with extremely high daily temperatures and daily precipitation and a decrease in the occurrence of extremely cold days was noted. Te most noticeable changes happened in the European part of Russia, where at the beginning of the XXI century occurrence of the extremes was greater than during the previous thirty years. Note also that at the beginning of XXI century in Southern Siberia increase of occurrences of both daily maximum and daily minimum temperature was concurrent. Tis combination appears to be caused by the increase in temperature variability in the region due to the alternation of winters with extreme frosts and warmer and wet winters. Te increase in the frequency of extremely high temperatures in the European part of Russia could have been caused by both general warming and the increased influence of AMO. An increase in the frequency of extreme high and low temperatures in the south of Siberia may be due to the formation of an anticyclonic circulation anomaly with a center near the coast of the Kara Sea, which is responsible for advection of cold air masses from the northeast. As well as cyclonic formation in southern Siberia, along the eastern periphery of which temperate latitudes can receive anomalously warm air from the subtropics.
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来源期刊
Led i Sneg-Ice and Snow
Led i Sneg-Ice and Snow GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY-
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
42.90%
发文量
11
审稿时长
8 weeks
期刊介绍: The journal was established with the aim of publishing new research results of the Earth cryosphere. Results of works in physics, mechanics, geophysics, and geochemistry of snow and ice are published here together with geographical aspects of the snow-ice phenomena occurrence in their interaction with other components of the environment. The challenge was to discuss the latest results of investigations carried out on Russia’s territory and works performed by Russian investigators together with foreign colleagues. Editorial board works in collaboration with Glaciological Association that is professional community of specialists in glaciology from all republics of the Former Soviet Union which are now new independent states. The journal serves as a platform for the presentation and discussion of new discoveries and results which help to elucidate the state of the Earth’s cryosphere and the characteristics of the evolution of the snow-ice processes and phenomena under the current conditions of rapid climate change.
期刊最新文献
СТОХАСТИЧЕСКОЕ МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЕ ПОЛЕЙ СПЛОЧЁННОСТИ ЛЕДЯНОГО ПОКРОВА ДЛЯ ОЦЕНКИ УСЛОВИЙ ПЛАВАНИЯ ПО ТРАССЕ СЕВЕРНОГО МОРСКОГО ПУТИ ЭВОЛЮЦИЯ ОЗЁР У ЛЕДНИКА ДЖИКИУГАНКЕЗ (СЕВЕРНОЕ ПРИЭЛЬБРУСЬЕ) В 1957-2020 ГГ. С УЧЁТОМ ПОДЗЕМНЫХ КАНАЛОВ СТОКА ВЛИЯНИЕ РЕЖИМА СНЕЖНОГО ПОКРОВА НА АГРОНОМИЧЕСКИЕ РИСКИ РАЗВИТИЯ РОЗОВОЙ СНЕЖНОЙ ПЛЕСЕНИ ВЛИЯНИЕ ЗЕМЛЕТРЯСЕНИЯ 1988 Г. НА ОЛЕДЕНЕНИЕ И РЕЛЬЕФ МАССИВА ЦАМБАГАРАВ (ЗАПАДНАЯ МОНГОЛИЯ) БАЛАНС ЛЬДА В СЕВЕРНОМ ЛЕДОВИТОМ ОКЕАНЕ В 1979-2019 ГГ. (ПО ДАННЫМ МОДЕЛИРОВАНИЯ)
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