自然保育区内搬迁基地选址的决策支援系统

ORiON Pub Date : 2017-12-08 DOI:10.5784/33-2-562
R. Reed, Jh van Vuuren
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引用次数: 0

摘要

重要的是,在自然保护区内的战略地点设置应急基地,以便迅速到达野外火点,并在火势蔓延之前将其控制住。本文提出了两种设施选址模型,可作为自然保护区此类基地选址的决策支持依据。这两种模型本质上都是多目标的。他们能够提出解决方案,在最大限度地降低定位基地的成本和最大限度地扩大保护区内关键区域的覆盖范围之间体现贸易决策。这些交易可能基于各种覆盖重要性标准,例如,目标覆盖地表坡度陡峭的地形部分,经历高年平均风速的地形部分,或许多野生动物在过去点燃的地形部分。覆盖标准通常是个案特定的,因此可能由决策者指定。这两种模型及其近似解方法都以计算机化决策支持系统的形式实施,以便使非数学倾向的决策者能够访问它们。通过将决策支持系统应用于涉及南非西开普省自然保护区桌山国家公园的特殊案例研究,验证了决策支持系统的有效性。关键词:Firebase定位,自然保护区,覆盖标准
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A decision support system for rebase location in a nature conservation area
It is important that rebases are available on standby at strategic locations in a nature conservation area from where wildre ignition points can be reached rapidly and such res brought under control before they spread. Two facility location models are proposed in this paper which may form the basis for decision support when deciding on the locations of such rebases in a nature conservation area. Both of these models are multi-objective in nature. They are able to produce solutions that embody trade-o decisions between minimising the cost of locating rebases and maximising the coverage of key areas in a conservation area. These trade-os may be based on a variety of coverage importance criteria, such as aiming to cover terrain portions exhibiting a steep ground slope, terrain portions that experience a high annual mean wind speed, or terrain portions in which many wildres have ignited in the past. The coverage criteria are typically case-specic and may therefore be specied by the decision maker. Both models, as well as their approximate solution methodology, are implemented in the form of a computerised decision support system in order to render them accessible to non-mathematically inclined decision makers. The decision support system is validated by applying it to a special case study involving Table Mountain National Park, a nature conservation area in the Western Cape, South Africa. Key words: Firebase location, nature conservation area, coverage criteria
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