经济危机(2008年)和卫生危机(2020年)期间希腊与欧盟的对外贸易

Anastasios Moskofidis, Georgios N. Magoulios
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摘要

本文将希腊的对外贸易与欧盟28国在经济危机(2008年)和健康危机(2020年)期间的对外贸易进行比较。在相关科学文献的基础上,对对外贸易(出口、进口、贸易差额)的定量数据进行了记录和方法分析。与此同时,提取了与欧盟28国在经济危机(2008-2018年)和卫生危机(2020-2021年)期间的相应数据相比的贸易条件和希腊商业外向型程度。根据以往的科学文献,在危机时期,国际、区域和国家一级的对外贸易量也影响着其他金融数字。经济危机(2008年)和财政紧缩导致的严厉限制措施的实施,导致企业面临的收入和内需减少,商业外向型增强,而同样的原因,进口减少,导致贸易平衡,贸易条件和商业外向型程度的改善。因此,从目前的数据来看,在卫生危机期间(2019-2020年),希腊和欧盟28国的出口似乎下降了大致相同的程度。就对外贸易数据而言,希腊对危机影响的敏感程度似乎高于欧盟28国。事实上,出口似乎比进口更不容易受到危机的影响。可以解释这种行为的希腊外贸出口的部门组成,其中最大的相关性是由于产品的需求弹性就收入而言,规模较小的企业,从而获得商业贷款和外部融资有限,而且缺乏竞争力的出口产品附加值方面,质量和价格,相比EU28特别是最发达的国家。进一步研究的建议是,考虑到2021年的时期,扩大数据的期限,解决俄罗斯和乌克兰新的地缘政治危机如何影响国际贸易关系,债券和交易的困境。
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The Foreign Trade of Greece and the EU during the Economic Crisis (2008) and the Health Crisis (2020)
This paper examines the foreign trade of Greece compared to the foreign trade of EU28 during the Economic Crisis (2008) and the Health Crisis (2020). Based on the findings of relevant scientific literature, the quantitative data of external trade (exports, imports, trade balance) are recorded and analyzed methodologically. At the same time, the terms of trade and the degree of extroversion of Greek commerce compared to the corresponding figures of the EU28 during the period of the economic crisis (2008-2018) and the health crisis (2020-2021) are extracted. According to previous scientific literature in times of crisis, the volume of foreign trade at international, regional and national level is also bearing, among other financial figures.The economic crisis (2008) and the implemented harsh restrictive measures due to fiscal contraction resulted, among other consequences, in the reduction of income and internal demand, that the businesses confronted, strengthening their commercial extroversion, while for the same reasons imports decreased, resulting in an improvement in the trade balance, the terms of trade and the degree of commercial extroversion. Accordingly, from the current data, it seems that the exports of both Greece and the EU28 decreased to about the same extent during the period of the Health Crisis (2019-2020). As far as the external trade figures are concerned, it appears that the Greek degree of sensitivity to the effects of crises is greater than that of the EU28. Indeed, it appears that exports are less vulnerable to the effects of crises than imports. This behavior of Greek foreign trade can be explained by the sectoral composition of exports, in which the greatest relevance is attributed to the products with great elasticity of demand in terms of income, by the smaller size of enterprises and hence the limited access to commercial loans and external financing, but also by the lack of competitiveness of exported products in terms of added value, quality and price, compared to those of the EU28 and especially of the most developed countries. Suggestions for further research are to expand the period of the data taking into consideration the period of 2021 and solving dilemma how the new geopolitical crisis of Russia and Ukraine will affect the international trade relations, bonds and transactions.
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