自然资源、产权与BIT签署的国内逻辑

Terence K. Teo
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摘要

与大量关于双边投资条约(BITs)是否会增加外国直接投资(FDI)的学术研究相比,关于政府最初签署这些条约的原因的研究较少。我发展了一种条约签署理论,强调激励政府签署双边投资协定的国内因素。利用1960年至2010年发展中国家的面板数据集,我发现,与富裕国家相比,自然资源匮乏的政府更有可能签署双边投资协定。此外,与产权水平低或高的政府相比,产权水平中等的政府更有可能签署双边投资协定。最后,最有可能签署双边投资协定的国家是拥有中等产权水平的资源稀缺国家。双边投资协定签署过程中存在的战略动态对评估这些条约在贸易、人权和环境等其他问题领域的影响具有重要意义。
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Natural Resources, Property Rights, and the Domestic Logic of BIT Signing
In contrast to the substantial scholarship on whether bilateral investment treaties (BITs) increase foreign direct investment (FDI), there is less work on what drives governments to sign these treaties in the first place. I develop a theory of treaty signing that emphasizes the domestic factors that motivate a government to sign BITs. Using a panel dataset of developing countries from 1960 to 2010, I find that governments scarce in natural resources are more likely to sign BITs compared to their richer counterparts. In addition, governments with middle levels of property rights are more likely to sign BITs compared to those with low or high levels. Finally, the most likely BIT signers are resource-scarce countries with middle levels of property rights. That strategic dynamics exist in BIT signing has implications for assessing the effects of these treaties in other issue areas such as trade, human rights, and the environment.
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