K-waves,资产表现和工业板块有利

O. Hilmola
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引用次数: 0

摘要

从股票市场与康德拉季耶夫经济长波之间的关系进行的研究非常有限。在这项研究中,我们用纵向数据来检验这种关系,不是用几十年,而是用一个世纪的长序列。初步分析显示,在股票、石油和黄金等资产类别的投资决策中使用k - wave的回报要高得多。我们的研究在某种意义上是独一无二的,它认为股票市场有周期,反过来又表明,存在投资者应该在这些市场中活跃的时期(相应的,在时尚行业中活跃的行业),但另一方面,在经济长波下行时避免他们。黄金和石油被认为在k波衰退中提供安全和收益。这对工业部门的复兴有潜在的影响,有人建议,世界人口驱动的工业将在未来几十年表现良好。
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K–waves, asset performance and industrial sector favourability
There exist very limited amount of research conducted from the relationship between stock markets and Kondratieff economic long–waves. In this research, we examine this relation with longitudinal data, not using decades, but rather century long series. Initial analysis shows significantly better returns on using K–waves in investment decisions in asset classes such as equities, oil and gold. Our research is unique in a sense that it argues stock markets to have cycles, and in turn suggesting that there exist periods when investors should be active within these (correspondingly industries being active in trendy sectors), but on the other hand, avoid them in economic long–wave downswings. Gold and oil are proposed to offer safety and yield in K–wave downturns. This has potential implications on industrial sector renewal, and it is proposed that world population driven industries will do well in the forthcoming decades.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Technology Intelligence and Planning
International Journal of Technology Intelligence and Planning Business, Management and Accounting-Management of Technology and Innovation
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
0.00%
发文量
2
期刊介绍: The IJTIP is a refereed journal that provides an authoritative source of information in the field of technology intelligence, technology planning, R&D resource allocation, technology controlling, technology decision-making processes and related disciplines.
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