{"title":"K-waves,资产表现和工业板块有利","authors":"O. Hilmola","doi":"10.1504/IJTIP.2013.060757","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"There exist very limited amount of research conducted from the relationship between stock markets and Kondratieff economic long–waves. In this research, we examine this relation with longitudinal data, not using decades, but rather century long series. Initial analysis shows significantly better returns on using K–waves in investment decisions in asset classes such as equities, oil and gold. Our research is unique in a sense that it argues stock markets to have cycles, and in turn suggesting that there exist periods when investors should be active within these (correspondingly industries being active in trendy sectors), but on the other hand, avoid them in economic long–wave downswings. Gold and oil are proposed to offer safety and yield in K–wave downturns. This has potential implications on industrial sector renewal, and it is proposed that world population driven industries will do well in the forthcoming decades.","PeriodicalId":52540,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Technology Intelligence and Planning","volume":"76 1","pages":"271"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2013-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"K–waves, asset performance and industrial sector favourability\",\"authors\":\"O. Hilmola\",\"doi\":\"10.1504/IJTIP.2013.060757\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"There exist very limited amount of research conducted from the relationship between stock markets and Kondratieff economic long–waves. In this research, we examine this relation with longitudinal data, not using decades, but rather century long series. Initial analysis shows significantly better returns on using K–waves in investment decisions in asset classes such as equities, oil and gold. Our research is unique in a sense that it argues stock markets to have cycles, and in turn suggesting that there exist periods when investors should be active within these (correspondingly industries being active in trendy sectors), but on the other hand, avoid them in economic long–wave downswings. Gold and oil are proposed to offer safety and yield in K–wave downturns. This has potential implications on industrial sector renewal, and it is proposed that world population driven industries will do well in the forthcoming decades.\",\"PeriodicalId\":52540,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Technology Intelligence and Planning\",\"volume\":\"76 1\",\"pages\":\"271\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2013-01-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Technology Intelligence and Planning\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJTIP.2013.060757\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"Decision Sciences\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Technology Intelligence and Planning","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1504/IJTIP.2013.060757","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"Decision Sciences","Score":null,"Total":0}
K–waves, asset performance and industrial sector favourability
There exist very limited amount of research conducted from the relationship between stock markets and Kondratieff economic long–waves. In this research, we examine this relation with longitudinal data, not using decades, but rather century long series. Initial analysis shows significantly better returns on using K–waves in investment decisions in asset classes such as equities, oil and gold. Our research is unique in a sense that it argues stock markets to have cycles, and in turn suggesting that there exist periods when investors should be active within these (correspondingly industries being active in trendy sectors), but on the other hand, avoid them in economic long–wave downswings. Gold and oil are proposed to offer safety and yield in K–wave downturns. This has potential implications on industrial sector renewal, and it is proposed that world population driven industries will do well in the forthcoming decades.
期刊介绍:
The IJTIP is a refereed journal that provides an authoritative source of information in the field of technology intelligence, technology planning, R&D resource allocation, technology controlling, technology decision-making processes and related disciplines.