试验中加入新实验臂的两周期多臂平台优化设计

H. Pan, Xiaomeng Yuan, Jingjing Ye
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引用次数: 2

摘要

平台试验是多臂临床研究,允许在试验启动后增加新的实验臂。但是,关于“增加新武器”的统计问题没有得到彻底讨论。这项工作的动机是一项“两期”的儿童骨肉瘤研究,从两个实验臂和一个对照臂开始,然后再增加两个预先计划的实验臂。在整个试验过程中,共同的控制臂将在实验臂之间共享。在本文中,我们提供了一种原则性的方法,包括如何修改临界边界以控制新臂增加时的家庭误差率,如何重新估计样本量并提供最优的对照-实验臂分配比例,以最小化总样本量以达到理想的边际功率水平。研究了增臂时机对设计工作特性的影响,为确定增臂时机提供了实用的指导。还进行了其他各种数值评价。本文还提出了一种控制成对错误率(power)的方法。我们已经在CRAN上发布了一个R包,PlatformDesign,供从业者轻松实现这个平台试验方法。附录A.2提供了详细的分步教程。
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An Optimal Two-Period Multiarm Platform Design with New Experimental Arms Added During the Trial
Platform trials are multiarm clinical studies that allow the addition of new experimental arms after the activation of the trial. Statistical issues concerning “adding new arms”, however, have not been thoroughly discussed. This work was motivated by a “two-period” pediatric osteosarcoma study, starting with two experimental arms and one control arm and later adding two more pre-planned experimental arms. The common control arm will be shared among experimental arms across the trial. In this paper, we provide a principled approach, including how to modify the critical boundaries to control the family-wise error rate as new arms are added, how to re-estimate the sample sizes and provide the optimal control-to-experimental arms allocation ratio, in terms of minimizing the total sample size to achieve a desirable marginal power level. We examined the influence of the timing of adding new arms on the design’s operating characteristics, which provides a practical guide for deciding the timing. Other various numerical evaluations have also been conducted. A method for controlling the pair-wise error rate (PWER) has also been developed. We have published an R package, PlatformDesign, on CRAN for practitioners to easily implement this platform trial approach. A detailed step-by-step tutorial is provided in Appendix A.2.
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