{"title":"具有控制和任意停止的序列估计问题","authors":"Erik Ekstrom, I. Karatzas","doi":"10.3934/puqr.2022011","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p style='text-indent:20px;'>We show that “full-bang” control is optimal in a problem which combines features of (i) sequential least-squares <i>estimation</i> with Bayesian updating, for a random quantity observed in a bath of white noise; (ii) bounded <i>control</i> of the rate at which observations are received, with a superquadratic cost per unit time; and (iii) “fast” discretionary <i>stopping</i>. We develop also the optimal filtering and stopping rules in this context.</p>","PeriodicalId":42330,"journal":{"name":"Probability Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk","volume":"86 19 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-10-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A sequential estimation problem with control and discretionary stopping\",\"authors\":\"Erik Ekstrom, I. Karatzas\",\"doi\":\"10.3934/puqr.2022011\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p style='text-indent:20px;'>We show that “full-bang” control is optimal in a problem which combines features of (i) sequential least-squares <i>estimation</i> with Bayesian updating, for a random quantity observed in a bath of white noise; (ii) bounded <i>control</i> of the rate at which observations are received, with a superquadratic cost per unit time; and (iii) “fast” discretionary <i>stopping</i>. We develop also the optimal filtering and stopping rules in this context.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":42330,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Probability Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk\",\"volume\":\"86 19 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-10-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Probability Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3934/puqr.2022011\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Probability Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3934/puqr.2022011","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"STATISTICS & PROBABILITY","Score":null,"Total":0}
A sequential estimation problem with control and discretionary stopping
We show that “full-bang” control is optimal in a problem which combines features of (i) sequential least-squares estimation with Bayesian updating, for a random quantity observed in a bath of white noise; (ii) bounded control of the rate at which observations are received, with a superquadratic cost per unit time; and (iii) “fast” discretionary stopping. We develop also the optimal filtering and stopping rules in this context.
期刊介绍:
Probability, Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk (PUQR) is a quarterly academic journal under the supervision of the Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China and hosted by Shandong University, which is open to the public at home and abroad (ISSN 2095-9672; CN 37-1505/O1).
Probability, Uncertainty and Quantitative Risk (PUQR) mainly reports on the major developments in modern probability theory, covering stochastic analysis and statistics, stochastic processes, dynamical analysis and control theory, and their applications in the fields of finance, economics, biology, and computer science. The journal is currently indexed in ESCI, Scopus, Mathematical Reviews, zbMATH Open and other databases.