应用人工神经网络模拟北阿坎德邦西喜马拉雅地区高海拔河流系统的水流、输沙和侵蚀速率

Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.1590/2318-0331.272220220045
K. S. Rautela, D. Kumar, B. G. R. Gandhi, Ajay Kumar, A. Dubey
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引用次数: 3

摘要

摘要河流流量估算是规划和决策的重要组成部分。它与许多涉及水资源的发展活动高度相关。研究沉积物在河流中的运移将有助于我们制定土壤保持、防洪、灌溉、航运和水生生物多样性问题的政策和计划。由于人工神经网络(Artificial Neural Networks, ann)等数据驱动模型的适用性和解决问题的能力,流沙输运建模被广泛采用。本研究采用缩放共轭梯度(SCG)、贝叶斯正则化(BR)和Levenberg-Marquardt (LM)三种训练算法模拟了河流流量和悬浮沉积物浓度(SSC)。在优化了基于模型效率参数的最佳训练算法后,利用L-M - ann模型进行了两年的流量预测,并通过观测数据验证了悬浮沉积物模型的有效性。结果表明,基于决定系数(R2)、纳什苏特克利夫效率(NSE)、均方根误差(RMSE)和均方根偏差(RMSD)等模型效率参数,模拟结果能够较好地跟踪河流流量和SSC。研究结果表明,在河流中,悬浮沉积物的浓度受到基岩物质、被碎屑覆盖的冰川和含冰冰的显著影响。与其他盆地和前人的研究相比,Alaknanda盆地的沉积物输运性较高。这可能与周围盆地强烈的人为活动有关。
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Application of ANNs for the modeling of streamflow, sediment transport, and erosion rate of a high-altitude river system in Western Himalaya, Uttarakhand
ABSTRACT The estimation of stream discharge is an essential component of planning and decision-making. It is highly correlated with many development activities involving water resources. The study of transportation of sediments in the rivers will help us to develop policies and plans for soil conservation, flood control, irrigation, navigation, and aquatic biodiversity problems. Using data-driven models such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), modeling of streamflow and sediment transport is frequently adopted due to their applicability and problem-solving ability. This study has used three training algorithms such as Scaled Conjugate Gradient (SCG), Bayesian Regularization (BR), and Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) to simulate the streamflow and Suspended Sediments Concentration (SSC). After optimizing the best training algorithm based on the model efficiency parameters, L-M based-ANN model has been used to predict streamflow for two years and the modeling of suspended sediments was validated with the help of observed data. The result shows that the simulated results tracked the streamflow as well as SSC with the desired accuracy based on the model efficiency parameters such as coefficient of Determination (R2), Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Root Mean Square Deviation (RMSD). The study's outcomes reveal that in the streamflow the concentration of suspended sediments is significantly affected by the base rock material, glaciers covered by debris, and moraine-laden ice. The transportation of the sediments is high in the Alaknanda basin as compared to the other basins and the previous studies. This might happen due to the severe anthropogenic activities in the surrounding basin.
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