{"title":"长期预测:一种新的时间趋势分析技术","authors":"R.F. de la Mare","doi":"10.1016/0377-841X(78)90038-4","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Most business decisions of a strategic nature require the forecasting of future events before any concerted plans can be formulated. The likely future levels of product sales, as depicted by the product life cycle, is of special interest in this regard. This paper develops and validates a particular time trend analysis model which the author hopes will be useful and which is believed to be novel. This model is based upon the equation: <span><span><span><math><mtext>S</mtext><msub><mi></mi><mn>t</mn></msub><mtext>= S</mtext><msup><mi></mi><mn>*</mn></msup><mtext>1-exp[-(</mtext><mtext>t</mtext><mtext>A</mtext><msup><mi></mi><mn>B</mn></msup><mtext>]</mtext></math></span></span></span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":100475,"journal":{"name":"Engineering and Process Economics","volume":"3 2","pages":"Pages 129-140"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"1978-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0377-841X(78)90038-4","citationCount":"2","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Long term forecasting: A novel time-trend analysis technique\",\"authors\":\"R.F. de la Mare\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/0377-841X(78)90038-4\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><p>Most business decisions of a strategic nature require the forecasting of future events before any concerted plans can be formulated. The likely future levels of product sales, as depicted by the product life cycle, is of special interest in this regard. This paper develops and validates a particular time trend analysis model which the author hopes will be useful and which is believed to be novel. This model is based upon the equation: <span><span><span><math><mtext>S</mtext><msub><mi></mi><mn>t</mn></msub><mtext>= S</mtext><msup><mi></mi><mn>*</mn></msup><mtext>1-exp[-(</mtext><mtext>t</mtext><mtext>A</mtext><msup><mi></mi><mn>B</mn></msup><mtext>]</mtext></math></span></span></span></p></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":100475,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Engineering and Process Economics\",\"volume\":\"3 2\",\"pages\":\"Pages 129-140\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"1978-03-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1016/0377-841X(78)90038-4\",\"citationCount\":\"2\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Engineering and Process Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0377841X78900384\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Engineering and Process Economics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0377841X78900384","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Long term forecasting: A novel time-trend analysis technique
Most business decisions of a strategic nature require the forecasting of future events before any concerted plans can be formulated. The likely future levels of product sales, as depicted by the product life cycle, is of special interest in this regard. This paper develops and validates a particular time trend analysis model which the author hopes will be useful and which is believed to be novel. This model is based upon the equation:
京公网安备 11010802042870号
京ICP备2023020795号-1
分享
求助内容：
应助结果提醒方式：
扫码关注我们
