利用国际比赛记录对女子手球输赢因素的比较分析

Jongchul Park
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摘要

本研究分析了近四年来女子手球主要国际比赛中影响比赛成绩的因素。本次分析包括参加2020年东京奥运会的12个国家,共分析了4项主要国际赛事的281场比赛。为了确定影响输赢的因素,我们对官方记录中的变量进行了独立样本t检验和逻辑回归分析。研究结果提出了几个对比赛结果有积极和消极影响的因素。在胜负因素差异分析中,600球成功率、900球成功率、FB进球与射门、AS、BS、ST对获胜有正向影响。Logistic回归分析的准确率为84.5%。6m和Wing进球,9m成功率,FB射门,GK Wing扑救率,GK 9m扑救率增加了获胜概率。
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Comparative analysis of win and loss factors in women's handball using international competition records
This study identifies factors affecting match results from major international competitions in women's handball in the last four years. The 12 countries that participated for the 2020 Tokyo Olympics were included in the analysis, and a total of 281 matches from 4 major international competitions were analyzed. To identify factors affecting winning and losing, independent sample t-test and logistic regression analysis were conducted on the variables present in the official records. The findings present several factors that have positive and negative effects on match results. In the analysis of differences in win and loss factors, 6m goals success rate, 9m success rate, FB goals and shooting, AS, BS, and ST had positive effects on winning. Logistic regression analysis had 84.5% accuracy. 6m and Wing goal, 9m success rate, FB shooting, GK Wing save rate, and GK 9m save rate increased the probability of winning.
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