股市异常到底反常吗?

George Chalamandaris, Kuntara Pukthuanthong, Nikolas Topaloglou
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引用次数: 2

摘要

我们提出了一个随机跨越来评估在因子模型框架下异常是否真实。我们的方法是非参数的,不依赖于任何回报分布和投资者风险偏好的假设。它取决于收益的整体分布,而不仅仅是前两个时刻。在我们考虑的异常中,只有少数扩展了风险规避者的机会集,并且具有实际的经济内容。我们的方法在识别样本内外的真实异常方面是一致的。这与均值方差(MV)跨越测试相反,后者识别样本内异常,而不是样本外异常。
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Are Stock-Market Anomalies Anomalous After All?
We propose a stochastic spanning to evaluate whether anomalies are genuine under factor-model framework. Our approach is nonparametric and does not rely on any assumption of return distribution and investor risk preferences. It depends on the whole distribution of returns, rather than only on the first two moments. Of the anomalies we consider, only a few expand the opportunity set of the risk-averter and have real economic content. Our approach is consistent in identifying genuine anomalies in and out of samples. This is in contrast to mean-variance (MV) spanning tests where anomalies identified in-sample, not out-of-sample.
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