吉林省气温和降水的时空演变

Shaohua Liu, B. Weng, D. Yan, Gang Wang, Jun Yin
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文分析了1953 - 2009年吉林省气温和降水(TAP)在年尺度和季节尺度上的时空演变特征。首先,基于16个台站的逐月TAP数据,采用Thiessen多边形法获取吉林省的季节和年平均、最小和最大温度和降水量;利用Mann-Kendall检验和功率谱分析分析了时间序列的突变点、趋势和周期性。最后在ArcGIS平台上研究了TAP变化率的空间分布。结果表明:1)吉林省年平均气温和最低气温均呈显著上升趋势,存在64/16 A两个显著期;年最高气温变化趋势波动不大,具有明显的2 ~ 4年的周期。年降水量呈显著减少趋势,其中60年代发生突变,有2个32/4 a周期。2)季节TAP趋势与年TAP趋势一致。全年TAP的突变和周期性也与夏季一致。然而,在其他季节有一些不同。3)吉林省西部气温的增增率高于东部。春季和冬季的温度变化率高于夏季和秋季。降水变化率的分布与气温变化率的分布相反,夏季和秋季较高,春季和冬季较低。
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Spatial-temporal evolution of temperature and precipitation in Jilin Province, China
The temporal and spatial evolution of temperature and precipitation (TAP) were analyzed at annual and seasonal scale in Jilin Province from 1953 to 2009 in this study. Firstly, based on monthly TAP of 16 stations, Thiessen polygon method was used to obtain seasonal and annual temperature (mean, minimum and maximum) and precipitation of Jilin Province. Then Mann-Kendall test and power spectral analysis were applied to analyze the abrupt change point, trend and periodicity of time series. At last the spatial distribution of TAP changes rate was studied in the platform of ArcGIS. The results showed that: 1) A significant increasing trend was shown in annual mean temperature and minimum temperature of Jilin Province, which had two significant periods of 64/16 years. However, the trend of annual maximum temperature was fluctuated and insignificant, and it had an obvious period of 2-4 years. Annual precipitation showed a significant decreasing trend, of which, abrupt changes occurred in 1960s and had two periods of 32/4 years. 2) The trend of seasonal TAP was consistent with annual TAP. And the occurrence of abrupt change and periodicity of annual TAP were also consistent with those in summer. However, there was some difference in the other seasons. 3) The increasing rate of temperature in the west was higher than that in the east of Jilin Province. And the changes rate of temperature in spring and winter were higher than that in summer and autumn. However, the distribution of precipitation changes rate was opposite to that of the temperature, and it was higher in summer and autumn and lower in spring and winter.
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