初级家庭收入再分配是减少不平等和加速区域经济增长的一个因素

IF 0.5 Q3 AREA STUDIES Ekonomika Regiona-Economy of Region Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI:10.17059/ekon.reg.2022-2-9
A. Shirov, M. Uzyakov, E. Uzyakova
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引用次数: 2

摘要

现有的收入差距严重制约了区域经济的发展。与此同时,由于利用消费者需求而产生的高经济增长潜力,有必要审查加强这一经济动态因素,包括通过资源分配政策。本文考虑了区域一级初级家庭收入再分配的宏观经济效率。根据从联邦国家统计局获得的数据,分析了按收入五分位数分组的人口总收入的区域分布以及平均人均收入。通过税率差异对初级收入进行再分配被认为是增加消费者需求动态的最重要因素(计算中使用的个人所得税增量为第五五分之一组的12个百分点(最高25%))。这项研究旨在评估这种再分配对俄罗斯及其地区的收入不平等和经济动态可能产生的影响。利用数学分析、多部门和区域间模型的方法估计了增加对最低收入群体的社会支助所造成的区域生产总值增长的潜力。计算显示,2019年整个经济的消费者支出增长可能达到+ 5.2%;估计总GRP增长为+ 2.7%。同时,区域人均收入最高与最低之比从5倍下降到4倍,人均国内生产总值之比(不包括区域间价格差异)从61.8倍下降到56.7倍(最高/最低水平)。计算结果可以被认为是对克服低收入和显著差异造成的区域发展限制的可能性的第一次评估。今后的详细研究应侧重于在经济政策领域制定全面的解决办法。
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Redistribution of Primary Household Incomes as a Factor for Reducing Inequality and Accelerating Economic Growth at the Regional Level
The existing income gaps significantly limit the regional and economic development. At the same time, the high economic growth potential due to the use of consumer demand necessitates the examination of the intensification of this factor of economic dynamics, including through the resource allocation policy. The article considers the macroeconomic efficiency of the redistribution of primary household incomes at the regional level. Regional distribution of the total income of the population by income quintile groups, as well as the average per capita income were analysed based on the data obtained from the Federal State Statistics Service. The redistribution of primary incomes through the differentiation of tax rates is considered the most important factor in increasing the dynamics of consumer demand (an increment of the personal income tax by 12 percentage points (up to 25 %) for the fifth quintile group is used in the calculations). The study aims to assess the possible impact of such redistribution on the income inequality and economic dynamics of Russia and its regions. The potential for gross regional product (GRP) growth resulting from an increase in social support for the least income groups was estimated using the methods of mathematical analysis, multisectoral and interregional modelling. The calculations show that an increase in consumer spending in 2019 in the economy as a whole could have amounted to +5.2 %; the estimate of the increase in total GRP was +2.7 %. Simultaneously, the ratio of the maximum and minimum regional per capita income decreased from 5 to 4 times, while the ratio of per capita GRP (excluding interregional price differentiation) decreased from 61.8 to 56.7 times (maximum/minimum level). The calculation results can be considered the first assessment of the possibilities of overcoming the limitations of regional development caused by low incomes and their significant differentiation. Future detailed studies should focus on developing comprehensive solutions in the field of economic policy.
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CiteScore
1.80
自引率
20.00%
发文量
23
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