使用匹配销售和租赁数据的英国住房分市场租金/价格比率

Stephen Clark, N. Lomax
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引用次数: 13

摘要

住宅物业的租售比是房地产经济学领域研究较多的一个统计数据。当这些价值不同步时,特别是当比率较低时,一些评论员认为这表明可能存在房地产泡沫。这些比率也引起了潜在房地产投资者的兴趣。这些比率通常是根据来自房地产市场的总统计数据计算的,因此很少提供任何可能发生在该国特定房地产类型或地区的次级市场泡沫的迹象。在本研究中,使用了来自一家房地产上市公司的数据集,该公司提供英国境内相同房产的销售和潜在租赁价格。根据配对情况,可以计算个别物业的租金/楼价比率。然后估计一个回归模型来解释属性的特征;他们邻居的性质;它们的位置影响这个比值。该模型一致地验证了一个假设,即越理想的房产或富裕的地区,租金/房价比率越低。它还开始说明住房次级市场中可能存在的“正常”租金/价格比率的范围。然后使用回归模型来提供英格兰一个房地产子市场的比例地理分布图。
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Rent/price ratio for English housing sub‐markets using matched sales and rental data
The ratio between the rental and sales values of residential properties are a much studied statistic in the field of real estate economics. When these values do not keep pace with each other, and in particular when the ratio is low, some commentators take this as an indication that there may be a housing bubble building. The ratios are also of interest to potential property investors. These ratios are commonly computed on aggregate statistics derived from the housing market and as such rarely provide any indication of sub‐market bubbles, that can occur with particular property types or regions of the country. In this study use is made of a data set from a property listings company that provides sales and, potentially, rental prices for the same properties within England. From the matching that takes place it is possible to calculate the rent/price ratio for individual properties. A regression model is then estimated to explain how the characteristics of the properties; the nature of their neighbourhood; and their location influence this ratio. The model consistently validates the hypothesis that the more desirable a property or affluent an area, the lower the rent/price ratio. It also begins to illustrate the range of “normal” rent/price ratios that may exist in housing sub‐markets. The regression model is then used to provide a map of the geographical distribution of the ratio for England for one property sub‐market.
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