陕川大坝固定式和跟踪式浮动光伏系统的光伏电势评估与验证

Kyoik Choi, J. Suh, Yosoon Choi, Yong-Sung Jang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究利用陕川坝固定浮式光伏发电系统的观测值对光伏电势进行了预测和验证。比较了固定和跟踪浮动光伏系统的观测输出功率。利用系统顾问模型软件对研究区气象数据和系统设计规范进行分析。对于固定光伏系统,观测值普遍高于预测值。根据月发电量实测值与预测值之间的差异,计算出的平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)为14%。根据之前的一项研究,水上系统的发电量比陆地系统高出约5% - 10%,每月MAPE约为11%,年错误率约为2%。此外,跟踪光伏系统的月输出功率略高于固定光伏系统。期望该系统在浮动式光伏发电系统功率输出预测算法的可再生能源输出预测系统中产生更高的精度。
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Evaluation and Validation of Photovoltaic Potential from Fixed and Tracking Floating Photovoltaic System in Hapcheon Dam
In this study, the photovoltaic (PV) potential was predicted and verified with the observed values of the fixed floating PV system at Hapcheon Dam. The observed power outputs from the fixed and tracking floating PV systems were compared. The System Advisor Model software was used to analyze the meteorological data of the study area and system design specifications. For the fixed PV system, the observed values were generally higher than the predicted values. Based on the difference between the observed and predicted values of monthly power output, the calculated mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) was 14%. According to a previous study in which the amount of power output on the water was approximately 5% – 10% higher than that on the on-land system, the monthly MAPE would be approximately 11%, and the annual error rate would be approximately 2%. In addition, the tracking PV system showed a slightly higher monthly power output than the fixed PV. It is expected that the proposed system will yield improved accuracy in the renewable energy output prediction system with the power output prediction algorithm for floating PV systems.
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