企业对减少洪水风险的贡献——印度尼西亚雅加达和三宝垄基于场景的实验

Thomas Neise , Javier Revilla Diez
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引用次数: 7

摘要

过去几年,越来越多的人提到私营部门参与减少风险的重要性。《2015-2030年仙台减少灾害风险框架》强调,私营部门应成为实现抗灾能力的关键伙伴。但是,私营部门的贡献仍然很少,而且大多由大型跨国公司承担,在地方一级只产生一些积极影响。在印尼,制造业企业尤其容易受到洪水的影响;雅加达和三宝垄就是突出的例子。更广泛的减少洪水风险的措施仍未充分制定。因此,本文认为企业可以通过集体适应措施来降低洪水风险。我们将集体适应理解为企业发起或与其他企业、社区、非政府组织和当局共同参与的降低风险的合作活动。我们自己的研究表明,特别是中小企业(SMEs)很少参与集体洪水适应。基于我们的研究结果,本文考察了哪些情况决定了中小企业为减少洪水风险做出贡献的意愿。本文还讨论了提高集体适应意愿的手段。在雅加达和三宝垄对120家中小企业进行了基于场景的实验。这些情景包含不同的风险降低措施(圩田系统、河流扩张和敏化计划),每个措施都有不同的参与者的贡献。比较逻辑回归已被应用于确定特定环境因素,如风险行为、公司特定特征或洪水易发程度,这些因素会影响为减少洪水风险做出贡献的意愿。总体而言,本文为理解企业在减少洪水风险方面的参与提供了更深入的见解,并给出了如何激励企业成为建设抗灾能力的积极参与者的答案。
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Firms’ contribution to flood risk reduction – scenario-based experiments from Jakarta and Semarang, Indonesia

The importance of private sector engagement on risk reduction is increasingly mentioned over the last years. The Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 stresses that the private sector should be a crucial partner in achieving disaster resilience. However, the contribution by the private sector is still rare and mostly undertaken by large multinational firms with just a few positive impacts on the local level.

Particularly manufacturing firms are heavily exposed to floods in Indonesia; Jakarta and Semarang are prominent examples. Broader flood risk reduction measures are still insufficiently developed. Therefore, it is argued that firms can reduce the flood risk through collective adaptation measures. We understand collective adaptation as collaborative activities to reduce risks that firms are either initiating or participating together with other firms, the community, NGOs and authorities.

Our own research has revealed that particularly small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) rarely engage in collective flood adaptation. Based on our findings, this paper examines which circumstances determine the willingness of SMEs to contribute to flood risk reduction. Instruments in order to increase the willingness to collective adaptation are also discussed.

Scenario-based experiments with 120 SMEs have been conducted in Jakarta and Semarang. These scenarios contain different risk reduction measures (polder system, river expansion and sensitization program), each with different actors’ constellation of contribution. Comparative logistic regressions have been applied to determine context-specific factors, e.g. risk behavior, firm-specific characteristics or level of flood-proneness that influence the willingness to contribute to flood risk reduction.

Overall, the paper provides deeper insights in understanding firms’ engagement in flood risk reduction and gives answers of how firms can be motivated to become an active player on building resilience.

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