基于大数据的新冠肺炎疫情对日用商品网上客流影响研究

Runjie Pan, Chenzhuoer Li, Huiyu Xin, Tian Lan
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引用次数: 1

摘要

新冠肺炎疫情对实体店造成了沉重打击,但对在线业务有何影响?研究小组收集了淘宝网购平台疫情爆发前后两周内1000种日常商品的客流大数据。研究发现:新冠肺炎疫情对在线客流量产生了显著的负面影响,整体增速有所下降。个人护理类、礼品类和商务文具类产品降幅最大,而日用品类保持相对稳定的客流量,几乎没有下降。相比之下,与流行病控制有关的产品在客流量和页面浏览量方面均有大幅增长。因此,研究小组认为,发展非接触式物流和非接触式生产,建立疫情防控产品的时空分离均衡供应体系,促进利他性社会消费,是恢复疫情对网络业务负面影响的必要对策。
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Study of the COVID-19’s Impact on the Online Customer Flow of Daily Commodities: A Big Data Approach
The Covid-19 pandemic has hit the brick-and-mortar business hard, but how would it affect the online business? The research group collected big data on the customer flow of 1,000 daily commodities for two weeks before and after the pandemic outbreak from Taobao online shopping platform. It was found that: the Covid-19 has caused a significant negative impact on the online customer inflow, and its overall growth rate decreased. The products related to personal care, gifts and business stationery experienced the most significant decline, while daily necessities maintained a relatively stable customer flow, with little or no decline. In contrast, the products related to pandemic-control exhibited substantial growth in both customer flow and page views. Accordingly, the research group believes that developing contactless logistics and contactless production, building a time-space separation balanced supply system for pandemic-control products, and promoting altruistic social spending are necessary countermeasures to restore the negative impacts of the pandemic on online business.
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