基于GIS的火灾风险建模与空间化

M. S. Guettouche, Amar Derias, Makhlouf Boutiba, Mohand Ouabdallah Bounif, M. Guendouz, A. Boudella
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引用次数: 23

摘要

森林火险的管理从火灾风险评估开始。这一评估成为若干研究工作的对象,并与许多火灾风险模型相关。我们感兴趣的模型是为地中海森林建立的。最后一个是根据三个因素的总和加权模型来构思的,其中每个因素都受到一个权重的影响,这个权重是他对火灾传播的影响的函数。然而,这种模式仍然具有批判性,值得发展和改进。因此,鉴于气候条件在火灾的发生和传播中的重要性和影响,我们建议在本文中通过添加另一个气候因素(标记为ICL)来改进该公式,并在尊重相同风险定义的同时将其呈现在产品形状下。应用所提出的模型,建议采用技术地理信息技术对火灾风险程度进行制图。在这种情况下,已在阿尔及尔的Bouzareah丛林建立并应用了SIG。原创性,因为它将允许理解火灾危险和脆弱性的环境,以更好地控制风险。
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A Fire Risk Modelling and Spatialization by GIS
The management of the forest fire risk starts with it assessment. This assessment made the object of several works of research and many models of fire risk have been related. The model that interests us here is that established for Mediterranean forests. This last is conceived according to a sum weighted model integral three factors, where each is affected by a weight, function of his influence on the propagation of the fire. However, this model remains critically and deserves a development and an improvement. For it, and seen the importance and the influence of climatic condition in the departure and in the propagation of fire, we propose, in this paper, to improve this formula by the addition of another climatic factor (marked ICL), and to present it under a product shape while respecting the same definition of the risk. The application of the proposed model, suggested uses the technical geomatics to mapping the degree of the fire risk. In this setting, a SIG has been established and applied on a forest of Bouzareah clump in Algiers. Originality as it will allow the understanding of fire hazard and vulnerability of the environment for a better control of risk.
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