人类模拟未来气候的麻烦

IF 16.4 1区 化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI:10.1080/2373566X.2022.2043764
D. Harris
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于当代气候变化是由人为强迫驱动的,因此有必要在气候模式中考虑人类的影响。鉴于并非所有人类都应对当前的气候变化负责,而且许多人已经受到了气候变化的不同程度的影响,有必要对气候模型中的人类进行更细致入微的理解。如果没有这种细微差别,由气候模型确定的未来气候政策将有可能重复历史上的不平等,这些不平等已经存在于气候快速变化的原因和影响中。本文首先简要概述了气候模型是如何建立的,以及它们在气候政治中的应用方式。然后,借鉴气候建模者的方法,本文转向西尔维娅·温特的工作来模拟人类。本文的最终目的是更广泛和创造性地思考如何在气候科学和政策中更好地代表人类的类型,并着眼于更公正的未来。
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The Trouble with Modeling the Human into the Future Climate
Because contemporary climate change is driven by anthropogenic forcings, it is necessary to factor humanity’s impact into climate models. Given that not all humans are responsible for current climate change, and that many people are already unequally impacted by climate change, it is necessary to develop a more nuanced understanding of the human in climate modeling. Without this nuance, future climate policy, as determined by climate modeling, will potentially replicate historic inequalities that are already present in attributions to and impacts from a rapidly changing climate. This paper begins by briefly outlining how climate models are built, and the ways they are used in climate politics. Then, borrowing methods from climate modelers, this paper turns towards Sylvia Wynter’s work to model the human. The ultimate aim of this paper is to think more expansively and creatively about how genres of humanity can better be represented in climate science and policy with an eye towards more just futures.
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来源期刊
Accounts of Chemical Research
Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合
CiteScore
31.40
自引率
1.10%
发文量
312
审稿时长
2 months
期刊介绍: Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.
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