什么决定债务期限?

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS ACS Applied Bio Materials Pub Date : 2019-01-01 DOI:10.20955/r.101.155-76
R. Manuelli
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引用次数: 2

摘要

什么决定了债务的期限结构?在本文中,我开发了一个简单的模型来探讨企业(或国家)发行的债务的最佳到期日如何取决于公司?美国的周期性状态和其所处经济环境的其他特征。我发现,当期收益较好、增长前景较好的公司发行期限较长的债务,而在波动较大的环境中经营的公司发行期限较短的债务。到期收益率并不能很好地反映公司所发行债务的风险。原因很简单:到期收益率既包含违约风险,也包含伪期限溢价。在该模型中,市场确实需要期限溢价,而出现期限溢价只是因为违约风险。将成熟度和风险的影响分开是不可能的。
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What Determines Debt Maturity?
What determines the maturity structure of debt? In this article, I develop a simple model to explore how the optimal maturity of debt issued by a firm (or a country) depends both on the firm?s cyclical state and other features of the economic environment in which it operates. I find that firms with better current earnings and better growth prospects issue debt with longer maturity, while firms operating in more-volatile environments issue debt with shorter maturity. Yield to maturity is a poor indicator of the risk of debt issued by a firm. The reason is simple: Yield to maturity captures both default risk and a component that is a pseudo term premium. In the model, the market does require a term premium and one appears only because of the risk of default. It is not possible to separate the impact of maturity and risk.
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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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