美国新墨西哥州拉斯克鲁塞斯的小型企业电力需求

Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Daniel J. Pastor, Michael Pokojovy, Andrew T. Yurachek
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对小型商业和工业用电模式的研究历来比住宅用电模式受到的关注少。本研究使用1978年至2018年的年度频率数据,对新墨西哥州第二大大都市经济体拉斯克鲁塞斯的小型企业商业和工业(CIS)生产的电力投入进行了调查。这些数据包括劳动力、人均个人收入、电力和天然气价格指标以及天气变量。然后使用自回归分布滞后模型(ARDL)估计数据的长期和短期弹性。从长期来看,CIS的推导需求曲线是向上倾斜的,Las Cruces的CIS客户使用天然气作为补充输入。实际人均收入也被发现在长期内有积极的影响,而天气的影响被发现是模糊的。在短期内,Las Cruces CIS的推导需求曲线是向下倾斜的,CIS客户使用天然气作为替代因素,并且发现极端天气与小型企业用电量呈正相关。
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Small Firm Electricity Demand in Las Cruces, New Mexico, USA
Research examining small commercial and industrial electricity usage patterns have historically received less attention than residential electricity consumption patterns. This study examines electricity as an input to small firm commercial and industrial (CIS) production in Las Cruces, the second largest metropolitan economy in the state of New Mexico, using annual frequency data from 1978 to 2018. Those data include labor, per capita personal income, price measures for electricity and natural gas, and weather variables. The long-run and short-run elasticities of the data are then estimated using an autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL). In the long-run, the CIS derived-demand curve is found to be upward sloping, and Las Cruces CIS customers use natural gas as a complementary input. Real per capita income is also found to have a positive impact in the long-run, while weather impacts are found to be ambiguous. In the short-run, the Las Cruces CIS derived-demand curve is downward sloping, CIS customers use natural gas as a substitute factor, and weather extremes are found to be positively correlated with small firm electricity usage.
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