分析师覆盖率和收益横截面的两个谜题

Thomas J. George, C. Hwang
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引用次数: 7

摘要

我们考察了米勒(1977)假设的一个程式化版本,作为对Chordia、Subrahmanyam和Anshuman(2001)以及Ang、Hodrick、Xing和Zhang(2006)令人困惑的结论的解释。通过使用低分析师覆盖率来识别容易出现分歧的股票,产生的结果与模型的预测非常一致。高回报波动性股票的低回报是对乐观的错误定价的修正,这种修正是由于信息到达导致交易员之间产生分歧而产生的。分歧也意味着回报与交易量冲击之间的负相关关系。基于特殊回报波动的交易策略的异常回报可以用基于周转波动的交易策略的回报来解释,这表明,正如模型所预测的那样,两种关系背后是同样的经济力量。
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Analyst Coverage and Two Puzzles in the Cross Section of Returns
We examine a stylized version of Miller's (1977) hypothesis as the explanation of the puzzling ndings of both Chordia, Subrahmanyam and Anshuman (2001) and Ang, Hodrick, Xing and Zhang (2006). Identifying stocks that are prone to disagreement by using low analyst coverage produces results that are strongly consistent with the model's predictions.The low returns to high return volatility stocks are corrections of optimistic mispricing that arises because information arrivals generate disagreement among traders. Disagreement also implies a negative relation between returns and shocks to trading volume. The abnormal returns to a trading strategy based on idiosyncratic return volatility are explained by the returns to a strategy based on turnover volatility, suggesting that the same economic forces underlie both relations as the model predicts.
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