COVID-19:危机规避与以增长为中心的货币政策

H. Kouam
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摘要

政策制定者采用了一系列财政和货币工具来应对COVID-19带来的经济和金融影响。从超宽松的货币政策、贷款担保到收入转移,这些政策避免了萧条,并支持了私营部门。本文从危机规避和增长中心的角度考察了货币政策的有效性。一项定性审查发现,货币政策的设计是“危机规避”visà-vis COVID-19,发达经济体央行有针对性的信贷和贷款激励措施作为金融体系的锚。它发现,由于冲击等异质性,对实体经济的传导较弱,但发现当前货币政策的设计与通胀逐渐趋同于对称的2.0%目标是一致的,而欧洲央行的目标是2.0%,但略低于2.0%。
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COVID-19: Crisis-Averse versus Growth-Centric Monetary Policy
Policymakers have employed a range of fiscal and monetary tools to address the economic and financial fallout from COVID-19. From ultra-accommodative monetary policy, loan guarantees to income transfers, these policies have averted a depression and supported the private sector. This paper investigates the effectiveness of monetary policy from a crisis-averse and growth-centric standpoint. A qualitative review finds the design of monetary policy to be “crisis-averse” visà-vis COVID-19, with targeted credit and lending incentives from central banks in advanced economies serving as anchors for the financial system. It finds weaker pass-through to the real economy due to the heterogeneity like the shock but finds the current design of monetary policy to be consistent with a gradual convergence of inflation towards the symmetric 2.0% target and at, but slightly below 2.0% for the ECB.
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